Methods of generating a parameter realization for a subsurface parameter
Methods of generating a parameter realization, for a subsurface parameter, as a function of depth within a subsurface region are disclosed herein. The methods include dividing a subsurface parameter profile for the subsurface region into a plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units. The methods also include splitting each stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units into a plurality of stratigraphic unit layers. The methods further include determining a layer parameter value range for each stratigraphic unit layer of the plurality of stratigraphic unit layers and for each stratigraphic unit. The methods also include, within each stratigraphic unit layer, selecting a corresponding layer parameter value from within the layer parameter value range. The methods further include generating the parameter realization by assigning the corresponding layer parameter value to the parameter realization for a corresponding layer depth range of each stratigraphic unit layer.
1 . A method of generating a parameter realization, for a subsurface parameter, as a function of depth within a subsurface region, the method comprising:
measuring, during drilling of a wellbore within the subsurface region, one or more values associated with the subsurface region to obtain one or more measured values;
determining, based on the one or more measured values, a subsurface parameter profile for the subsurface region;
dividing the subsurface parameter profile for the subsurface region into a plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units, wherein the subsurface parameter profile includes a probability distribution of the subsurface parameter as a function of depth within the subsurface region, and further wherein each stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units extends within a corresponding stratigraphic depth range within the subsurface region;
splitting each stratigraphic unit into a plurality of stratigraphic unit layers, wherein each stratigraphic unit layer of the plurality of stratigraphic unit layers extends within a corresponding layer depth range that is a subset of the corresponding stratigraphic depth range for each stratigraphic unit;
within each stratigraphic unit layer of the plurality of stratigraphic unit layers of each stratigraphic unit and based, at least in part, on the subsurface parameter profile within each stratigraphic unit layer, determining a layer parameter value range that extends between a layer minimum parameter value and a layer maximum parameter value;
within each stratigraphic unit layer, selecting a corresponding layer parameter value from within the layer parameter value range;
generating the parameter realization by assigning the corresponding layer parameter value to the parameter realization for the corresponding layer depth range of each stratigraphic unit layer; and
utilizing the parameter realization as an input to a model of the subsurface region.
2 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the dividing the subsurface parameter profile includes dividing such that each stratigraphic unit is adjacent at least one other stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units.
3 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the dividing the subsurface parameter profile includes dividing such that the corresponding stratigraphic depth range of each stratigraphic unit at least one of:
(i) differs from the corresponding stratigraphic depth range of each other stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units; and
(ii) is a subset of a profile depth range of the subsurface parameter profile.
4 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the dividing the subsurface parameter profile includes dividing based, at least in part, on naturally occurring stratigraphic boundaries within the subsurface region.
5 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the splitting each stratigraphic unit includes splitting into a corresponding number of stratigraphic unit layers.
6 . The method of claim 5 , wherein the corresponding number of stratigraphic unit layers for each stratigraphic unit is equal to the corresponding number of stratigraphic unit layers for each other stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units.
7 . The method of claim 5 , wherein the corresponding number of stratigraphic unit layers for at least one stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units differs from the corresponding number of stratigraphic unit layers for at least one other stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units.
8 . The method of claim 5 , wherein the corresponding number of stratigraphic unit layers includes at least one of:
(i) at least 2, at least 3, at least 4, or at least 5 stratigraphic unit layers; and
(ii) at most 10, at most 8, at most 6, or at most 4 stratigraphic unit layers.
9 . The method of claim 1 , wherein each stratigraphic unit layer defines a corresponding layer depth.
10 . The method of claim 9 , wherein a depth ratio of the corresponding layer depth of each stratigraphic unit layer to the corresponding layer depth range of a corresponding stratigraphic unit is at least one of:
(i) at least 0.05, at least 0.10, at least 0.2, at least 0.3, at least 0.4, or at least 0.5; and
(ii) at most 0.95, at most 0.9, at most 0.8, at most 0.7, at most 0.6, at most 0.5, at most 0.4, or at most 0.3.
11 . The method of claim 9 , wherein, within a given stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units, the corresponding layer depth of each stratigraphic unit layer is equal to the corresponding layer depth of each other stratigraphic unit layer of the plurality of stratigraphic unit layers.
12 . The method of claim 9 , wherein, within a given stratigraphic unit of the plurality of adjacent stratigraphic units, the corresponding layer depth of at least one stratigraphic unit layer of the plurality of stratigraphic unit layers differs from the corresponding layer depth of at least one other stratigraphic unit layer of the plurality of stratigraphic unit layers.
13 . The method of claim 1 , wherein, within each layer, determining the layer parameter value range includes determining the layer minimum parameter value and determining the layer maximum parameter value.
14 . The method of claim 13 , wherein the probability distribution of the subsurface parameter as the function of depth within the subsurface region includes a plurality of individual probability distributions of the subsurface parameter, each defined at a corresponding depth within the subsurface region.
15 . The method of claim 14 , wherein the determining the layer minimum parameter value includes at least one of:
(i) determining an average of a minimum value of each individual probability distribution of the plurality of individual probability distributions of the subsurface parameter defined at a corresponding depth that is within each layer;
(ii) determining a 5 th percentile of the minimum value of each individual probability distribution;
(iii) determining a 25 th percentile of the minimum value of each individual probability distribution; and
(iv) determining a minimum M th percentile of the minimum value of each individual probability distribution.
16 . The method of claim 14 , wherein the determining the layer maximum parameter value includes at least one of:
(i) determining an average of a maximum value of each individual probability distribution of the plurality of individual probability distributions of the subsurface parameter defined at a corresponding depth that is within the layer;
(ii) determining a 95 th percentile of the maximum value of each individual probability distribution;
(iii) determining a 75 th percentile of the maximum value of each individual probability distribution; and
(iv) determining a maximum N th percentile of the maximum value of each individual probability distribution.
17 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the selecting the corresponding layer parameter value includes at least one of:
(i) randomly selecting the corresponding layer parameter value from within the layer parameter value range;
(ii) selecting the corresponding layer parameter value from an evenly weighted distribution of parameter values within the layer parameter value range; and
(iii) selecting the corresponding layer parameter value from an unevenly weighted distribution of parameter values within the layer parameter value range.
18 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the generating the parameter realization includes at least one of:
(i) plotting each corresponding layer parameter value for each corresponding layer depth range;
(ii) generating a database that assigns each corresponding layer parameter value to each corresponding layer depth range; and
(iii) generating a function that assigns each corresponding layer parameter value to each corresponding layer depth range.
19 . The method of claim 1 , further comprising:
utilizing the model for hydrocarbon production.
20 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the model comprises a hydraulic fracturing model of the subsurface region.