System and method for computer power control
View Patent ↗Provided herein is a computer implemented system for managing power supply for an electronic device. The system includes computer a learning component that is trained and constructs models according to usage patterns of the electronic device, a component providing a first phase of model building relating to usage of the electronic device; and a forecasting component that employs the learning component and models to generate predictions relating to usage of the electronic device.
1. A computer implemented system for managing power supply for an electronic device, comprising the following computer executable components:
a learning component that is trained and constructs models according to usage patterns of the electronic device;
a component providing a first phase of model building relating to usage of the electronic device; and
a forecasting component that employs the learning component and models to generate predictions relating to usage of the electronic device,
wherein the electronic device is a computer,
wherein the predicted usage profile comprises a discretization of usage data, whereby the size of usage tables is reduced,
wherein the learning component includes one or more probabilistic learning models for reasoning about the usage states,
wherein the learning component includes a naïve Bayesian model, and
wherein the system assumes a variable T i for the i th time period and calculates P(T n+1 |T 1 , T 2 , . . . T n ) to compute usage probability.
2. A computer implemented system for managing power supply for an electronic device, comprising the following computer executable components:
a learning component that is trained and constructs models according to usage patterns of the electronic device;
a component providing a first phase of model building relating to usage of the electronic device; and
a forecasting component that employs the learning component and models to generate predictions relating to usage of the electronic device,
wherein the electronic device is a computer,
wherein the predicted usage profile comprises a discretization of usage data, whereby the size of usage tables is reduced,
wherein the learning component includes one or more probabilistic learning models for reasoning about the usage states,
wherein the learning component includes a naïve Bayesian model, and
wherein the system calculates P(T n+1 |T 1 , T 2 , . . . T n ) as follows:
P
(
T
n
+
1
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
=
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
=
P
(
T
1
|
T
2
…
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
2
…
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
=
P
(
T
1
|
T
2
…
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
2
|
T
3
…
T
n
+
1
)
…
P
(
T
n
|
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
.
3. The system of claim 2 , wherein the system further includes the assumption:
P
(
T
i
|
T
i
+
1
,
T
i
+
2
,
…
T
n
+
1
)
=
P
(
T
i
|
T
i
+
1
)
,
and
calculates
P
(
T
n
+
1
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
≈
P
(
T
n
+
1
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
.
4. The system of claim 3 , wherein the systems evaluates the likelihood of usage status of the computer by evaluating the ratio:
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
1
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
0
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
Where T i =1 indicates the computer is used and T i =0 indicates the computer is unused, whereby the computer is more likely to be used than not when the value of the ratio is greater than 1.
5. The system of claim 4 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises calculating the ratio:
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
1
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
0
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
≈
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
1
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
=
1
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
.
6. The system of claim 5 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises calculating the logarithm of the ratio:
P
(
T
n
+
1
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
≈
P
(
T
n
+
1
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
Ti
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
.
7. The system of claim 5 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises including one or more additional variables.
8. The system of claim 7 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises including an additional variable to reflect a particular day of the week and evaluating the ratio:
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
1
)
P
(
W
|
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
=
1
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
P
(
W
|
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
(
2
)
Wherein W=1; 2; 3; 4; 5; 6; 7 and represent a day of the week.
9. The system of claim 8 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises collecting a historical value for P(W|T n+1 ).
10. The system of claim 7 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises including an additional variable to reflect usage of one or more external resource.
11. The system of claim 10 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises including an additional variable to reflect one or more of:
i. meeting information from calendaring software like Microsoft Outlook;
ii. day of week;
iii. day of quarter;
iv. holiday information;
v. usage of another device or system connected through a network;
vi. presence or absence of a Bluetooth device; and
vii. information from a building management or access control device.
12. A computer implemented method for managing power supply for an electronic device, comprising the following computer executable steps:
i) providing historical usage data;
ii) training a learning component to construct models according to usage patterns of the electronic device,
iii) providing a first phase of model building relating to usage of the electronic device;
iv) generating predicted usage profile relating to usage of the electronic device; and
v) incorporating the usage profile into a power scheme for power supply to the device,
wherein the method utilizes one or more probabilistic learning models for reasoning about the usage states,
wherein the learning model includes a naïve Bayesian model, and
wherein the method assumes a variable T i for the i th time period and calculates P(T n+1 |T 1 , T 2 , . . . T n ) to compute usage probability.
13. The method of claim 12 , comprising calculating P(T n+1 |T 1 , T 2 , . . . T n ) as follows:
P
(
T
n
+
1
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
=
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
=
P
(
T
1
|
T
2
…
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
2
…
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
=
P
(
T
1
|
T
2
…
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
2
|
T
3
…
T
n
+
1
)
…
P
(
T
n
|
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
.
14. The method of claim 13 , wherein the method further includes the assumption:
P
(
T
i
|
T
i
+
1
,
T
i
+
2
,
…
T
n
+
1
)
=
P
(
T
i
|
T
i
+
1
)
,
and
calculates
P
(
T
n
+
1
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
≈
P
(
T
n
+
1
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
.
15. The method of claim 14 , comprising evaluating the likelihood of usage status of the computer by evaluating the ratio:
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
1
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
0
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
Where T i =1 indicates the computer is used and T i =0 indicates the computer is unused, whereby the computer is more likely to be used than not when the value of the ratio is greater than 1.
16. The method of claim 15 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises calculating the ratio:
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
1
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
0
|
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
≈
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
1
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
=
1
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
.
17. The method of claim 16 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises calculating the logarithm of the ratio:
P
(
T
n
+
1
T
1
,
T
2
,
…
T
n
)
≈
P
(
T
n
+
1
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
Ti
T
n
+
1
)
P
(
T
1
,
…
,
T
n
)
.
18. The method of claim 17 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises including one or more additional variables.
19. The method of claim 18 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises including an additional variable to reflect a particular day of the week and evaluating the ratio:
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
1
)
P
(
W
|
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
=
1
)
P
(
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
P
(
W
|
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
∏
i
=
1
n
P
(
T
i
|
T
n
+
1
=
0
)
(
2
)
Wherein W=1; 2; 3; 4; 5; 6; 7 and represent a day of the week.
20. The method of claim 19 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises collecting a historical value for P(W|T n+1 ).
21. The method of claim 18 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises including an additional variable to reflect one or more of:
i. meeting information from calendaring software like Microsoft Outlook;
ii. day of week;
iii. day of quarter;
iv. holiday information;
v. usage of another device or system connected through a network;
vi. presence or absence of a Bluetooth device; and
vii. information from a building management or access control device.
22. The method of claim 16 , wherein evaluating the likelihood of usage comprises including an additional variable to reflect usage of one or more external resource.