METHODS FOR THE PREDICTION OF SHORT-TERM AND LONG-TERM COGNITIVE DECLINE IN ALZHEIMER'S DISEASE PATIENTS USING CSF BIOMARKERS
The present invention provides a method for predicting the short-term and long-term cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease patients and uses thereof in predicting efficacy of an AD therapeutic. The method uses baseline levels of CSF biomarkers to predict decreases over time in CAMCOG and MMSE scores.
1 . A method for predicting cognitive decline in an Alzheimer's disease (AD) patient comprising:
(a) conducting a biomarker analysis of a fluid sample from an AD patient; and
(b) using the biomarker analysis of step (a) to derive the rate of cognitive decline for the AD patient on a statistically significant slope (SSS) obtained from a standard AD patient panel.
2 . The method of claim 1 where the biomarker is selected from the group consisting of Aβ42, tau, and ptau.
3 . The method of claim 1 where the predicted cognitive decline is a short-term prognosis.
4 . The method of claim 1 where the predicted cognitive decline is a long-term prognosis.
5 . A method for evaluating the effectiveness of an Alzheimer's disease (AD) therapeutic comprising:
(a) conducting a cognitive assessment of an AD patient and a biomarker analysis of a fluid sample from the AD patient;
(b) using the biomarker analysis of step (a) to derive the predicted rate of cognitive decline for the AD patient on a statistically significant slope (SSS) obtained from a standard AD patient panel;
(c) administering an AD therapeutic to the AD patient;
(d) conducting a cognitive assessment of the AD patient; and
(e) comparing the result of step (d) with the predicted rate of cognitive decline of step (b).
6 . The method of claim 5 where the biomarker is selected from the group consisting of Aβ42, tau, and ptau.
7 . The method of claim 1 where the predicted cognitive decline is a short-term prognosis.
8 . The method of claim 1 where the predicted cognitive decline is a long-term prognosis.
9 . A method for evaluating the relative effectiveness of multiple Alzheimer's (AD) therapeutics comprising:
(a) conducting a cognitive assessment of a group of AD patients and a biomarker analysis of a fluid sample from the patients;
(b) using the biomarker analysis of step (a) to derive the predicted rate of cognitive decline for the AD patient on a statistically significant slope (SSS) obtained from a standard AD patient panel;
(c) dividing said group of AD patients into multiple subgroups having similar predicted rates of cognitive decline;
(d) administering a different AD therapeutic to each subgroup of AD patients;
(e) conducting a cognitive assessment on each subgroup of AD patients;
(f) comparing the results of step (e) with the derived predicted rate of cognitive decline of step (b). for each subgroup.
10 . The method of claim 9 where the biomarker is selected from the group consisting of Aβ42, tau, and ptau.
11 . The method of claim 9 where the predicted cognitive decline is a short-term prognosis.
12 . The method of claim 9 where the predicted cognitive decline is a long-term prognosis.