Price target builder
Systems and techniques for determining price targets are disclosed. The systems and techniques are designed to be a key workflow tool for investment managers and analysts, saving time and improving investment discipline. Using the disclosed systems and techniques, price targets may be generated based on historic, forward looking, and/or relative valuation metrics which are applied to actual or estimated financial data.
1. A computer-implemented method for generating and displaying an updated price target of an investment asset based on a change in one or more sets of valuation metrics of the investment asset, the method comprising:
identifying a first set of valuation metrics for association with the investment asset, wherein at least one item of the first set of valuation metrics identifies an index value, a sector value, or peer asset value;
identifying a first set of values to be associated with the first set of valuation metrics, said identifying comprises determining whether a given valuation metric is a current valuation metric or a historical valuation metric, wherein:
if the given valuation metric is the historical valuation metric, obtaining a historical data set based on a latest time series associated with the given valuation metric and computing a summary metric of the historical data set,
if the given valuation is the current valuation metric, determining whether the current valuation metric is a peer based valuation metric, the peer based valuation metric based on one or more assets having similar characteristics, wherein:
if the current valuation metric is the peer based valuation metric, obtaining a peer data set and computing an overall peer metric based on one or more valuation multiples associated with each peer of the peer data set, and
if the current valuation metric is not the peer based valuation metric, obtaining a current value based on the most recent value associated with the current valuation metric,
identifying a second set of values to be associated with a second set of valuation metrics;
generating one or more rules defining a relationship between one of the first set of valuation metrics and one of a second set of valuation metrics, the one or more rules further comprising one or more textual descriptions of the one or more rules for presentation on a graphical user interface (GUI);
configuring the GUI to display, selectable options to make adjustments to the identified first set of values associated with the first set of valuation metrics and the identified second set of values associated with the second set of valuation metrics;
applying the one or more rules to compute an implied price target for each one of the one or more rules, wherein the applying the one or more rules includes:
generating a price target by applying a first mathematical function to the one or more implied price targets associated with the one or more of the rules, wherein applying the first mathematical function includes averaging the one or more implied price targets to compute the price target;
detecting a change in value of either the first set of values or the second set of values;
generating the updated price target in response to detecting the change in value of either the first set of values or the second set of values, wherein the generating includes re-computing, in real-time, a value of the price target that is based on the one or more rules, the first mathematical function, and the change in value of either the first set of values or the second set of values; and
generating a graphical display in the GUI to illustrate value changes associated with at least one of the first set of values, the second set of values, and the price target over a time period.
2. The method of claim 1 , wherein the rule is a user configurable rule.
3. The method of claim 1 , further comprising associating a set of permissions with the one or more rules.
4. The method of claim 1 , further comprising determining the second set of valuation metrics based upon the first set of valuation metrics.
5. The method of claim 4 , wherein at least one item of the first set of valuation metrics comprises an absolute valuation multiple or a relative valuation multiple.
6. The method of claim 1 , further comprising associating a set of permissions with the updated price target.
7. The method of claim 1 , wherein the applying first mathematical function further includes weighting each of the plurality of implied price targets by a corresponding weight value.
8. The method of claim 1 , further comprising providing the graphical user interface (GUI) for selecting the first set of valuation metrics and the second set of valuation metrics.
9. The method of claim 1 , comprising converting the updated price target from a first currency to a second currency, the first currency different from the second currency.
10. A computer device comprising: a processor, a computer memory operatively coupled to the processor, the computer memory storing instructions that, in response to receiving a request to generate and display an updated price target of an investment asset based on a change in one or more sets of valuation metric values of the investment asset, cause the processor to:
identify a first set of valuation metrics for association with the investment asset, wherein at least one item of the first set of valuation metrics identifies an index value, a sector value, or peer asset value;
identify a first set of values to be associated with the first set of valuation metrics, said identification comprising determining whether a given valuation metric is a current valuation metric or a historical valuation metric, wherein:
if the given valuation metric is the historical valuation metric, obtain a historical data set based on a latest time series associated with the valuation metric and computing a summary metric of the historical data set,
if the given valuation is the current valuation metric, determine whether the current valuation metric is a peer based valuation metric, the peer based valuation metric based on one or more assets having similar characteristics, wherein:
if the current valuation metric is the peer based valuation metric, obtain a peer data set and computing an overall peer metric based on one or more valuation multiples associated with each of peer the peers of the peer data set, and
if the current valuation metric is not the peer based valuation metric, obtain a current value based on the most recent value associated with the current valuation metric,
identify a second set of values to be associated with a second set of valuation metrics;
generate one or more rules defining a relationship between one of the first set of valuation metrics and one of a second set of valuation metrics, the one or more rules further comprising one or more textual descriptions of the one or more rules for presentation on a graphical user interface (GUI);
configure the GUI to display selectable options to make adjustments to the identified first set of values associated with the first set of valuation metrics and the identified second set of values associated with the second set of valuation metrics;
apply the one or more rules to compute an implied price target for each one of the one or more rules, wherein the instructions that cause the processor to apply the one or more rules include instructions that cause the processor to:
generate a price target by applying a first mathematical function to the one or more implied price targets associated with the one or more rules, the instructions that cause the processor to apply the first mathematical function include instructions that cause the processor to average the one or more implied price targets to compute the price target;
detect a change in value of either the first set of values or the second set of values;
generate the updated price target in response to detecting the change in value of either the first set of values or the second set of values using the one or more rules, wherein the instructions that cause the processor to generate the updated price include instructions that cause the processor to re-compute, in real-time, a value of the updated price target that is indicative of one or more rules, the first mathematical function, and the change in value of either the first set of values or the second set of values; and
generate a graphical display in the GUI to illustrate value changes associated with the at least one value of the first set of values, the second set of values, and the price target over a time period.
11. The system of claim 10 , wherein the rule is a user configurable rule.
12. The system of claim 10 , wherein the memory stores instructions that, in response to receiving the request, cause the processor to associate a set of permissions with the one or more rules.
13. The system of claim 10 , wherein the memory stores instructions that, in response to receiving the request, cause the processor to transmit a signal representing the stored updated price target in response to a request.
14. The system of claim 10 , wherein the memory stores instructions that, in response to receiving the request, cause the processor to determine the second set of valuation metrics based upon the first set of valuation metrics.
15. The system of claim 14 , wherein at least one item of the first set of valuation metrics comprises an absolute valuation multiple or a relative valuation multiple.
16. The system of claim 10 , wherein the memory stores instructions that, in response to receiving the request, cause the processor to associate a set of permissions with the updated price target.
17. The system of claim 10 , wherein the memory stores instructions that, in response to receiving the request to apply the first mathematical function, further cause the processor to weight each of the plurality of implied price targets by a corresponding weight value.
18. The system of claim 10 , wherein the memory stores instructions that, in response to receiving the request, cause the processor to provide the graphical user interface (GUI) for selecting the first set of valuation metrics and the second set of valuation metrics.
19. The system of claim 10 , wherein the memory stores instructions that, in response to receiving the request, cause the processor to convert the updated price target from a first currency to a second currency, the first currency different from the second currency.