SIMULATION DEVICE FOR LIQUIDATION OF FARMLAND
A device is provided that predicts in advance a farm that will be liquidated due to farm retirement or finds a renter of the farm. CPU 50 acquires determination timing. This determination timing may be acquired from one stored in advance or may be acquired externally. CPU 50 calculates age of each farmer at the acquired determination timing based on age information that is included in basic information. CPU 50 determines whether or not the age of the each farmer at the determination timing is a specified age or higher. CPU 50 predicts whether or not the each block will be a liquidated farm based on a determination result of the age determination means, information on presence or absence of a successor, and information on presence or absence of intention to expand about the farmer of the each block. CPU 50 outputs the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm and the block that is not predicted as the liquidated farm by the liquidated farm prediction in a distinguishable manner from each other.
1 . A simulation device for liquidation of farmland comprising:
a storing section that stores basic information about each farmer including age information, information on presence or absence of a successor, information on presence or absence of intention to expand, and information on a farmed block;
means for acquiring determination timing;
means for calculating age of the each farmer at the determination timing based on the age information and determining whether or not the age is same as a specified age or higher;
means for predicting and storing whether or not the block owned by the each farmer will be a liquidated farm based on a determination result of the age determination means, the information on presence or absence of a successor, and the information on presence or absence of intention to expand about the each farmer; and
means for outputting the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm and the block that is not predicted as the liquidated farm by the liquidated farm prediction means in a distinguishable manner from each other.
2 . The simulation device for liquidation of farmland according to claim 1 , wherein
the basic information includes farm map data that is divided by the each block, and
the liquidated farm output means outputs a farm map on which the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm and the block that is not predicted as the liquidated farm by the liquidated farm prediction means are distinguishable from each other.
3 . The simulation device for liquidation of farmland according to claim 1 , wherein,
in a case where the age of the farmer is same as the specified age or higher at the determination timing, where the information on presence or absence of a successor indicates the absence of a successor, and where the information on presence or absence of intention to expand indicates the absence of intention to expand, the liquidated farm prediction means determines that the each block owned by the farmer will be the liquidated farm.
4 . The simulation device for liquidation of farmland according to claim 1 , further comprising:
means for extracting the farmer with a potential to farm the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm based on the determination result of the age determination means, the information on presence or absence of a successor, and the information on presence or absence of intention to expand about the farmer.
5 . The simulation device for liquidation of farmland according to claim 4 further comprising:
means for extracting recommended candidate from the candidates for the subject liquidated farm based on a distance between the liquidated farm and the each block owned by a renter candidate.
6 . The simulation device for liquidation of farmland according to claim 4 further comprising:
means for extracting recommended candidate from the candidates for the subject liquidated farm based on whether or not the liquidated farm and the each block owned by the candidate belong to a same geographical community.
7 . The simulation device for liquidation of farmland according to claim 1 , wherein
a degree of importance of any of the determination result of the age determination means, the information on presence or absence of a successor, and the information on presence or absence of intention to expand that are used for the prediction by the liquidated farm prediction means is changed based on whether or not the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm by the liquidated farm prediction means turns out to be the liquidated farm at the determination timing.
8 . The simulation device for liquidation of farmland according to claim 4 , wherein
a degree of importance of any of the determination result of the age determination means, the information on presence or absence of a successor, and the information on presence or absence of intention to expand that are used for the extraction by the candidate extraction means is changed based on who is the farmer of the liquidated farm in a determination year and beyond.
9 . The simulation device for liquidation of farmland according to claim 1 , wherein the simulation device for liquidation of farmland is configured as a server, and a user accesses the server from a terminal that is connected thereto via the Internet.
10 . A non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland that functions a computer having a storing section for storing basic information about each farmer including age information, information on presence or absence of a successor, information on presence or absence of intention to expand, and information on a farmed block as a simulation device for liquidation of farmland, wherein the program is implemented in a computer and capable of causing the computer to perform:
acquiring a determination timing;
calculating age of the each farmer in the determination timing based on the age information and determining whether or not the age is same as a specified age or higher;
predicting and storing whether or not the block owned by the each farmer will be a liquidated farm based on a determination result of the age determination, the information on presence or absence of a successor, and the information on presence or absence of intention to expand about the each farmer; and
outputting the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm and the block that is not predicted as the liquidated farm by the liquidated farm prediction in a distinguishable manner from each other.
11 . The non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland according to claim 10 , wherein
the basic information includes farm map data that is divided by the each block, and
the liquidated farm output means outputs a farm map on which the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm and the block that is not predicted as the liquidated farm by the liquidated farm prediction means are distinguishable from each other.
12 . The non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland according to claim 10 , wherein,
in a case where the age of the farmer is same as the specified age or higher in the determination year, where the information on presence or absence of a successor indicates the absence of a successor, and where the information on presence or absence of intention to expand indicates the absence of intention to expand, it is determined in the liquidated farm prediction that the each block owned by the farmer will be the liquidated farm.
13 . The non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland according to claim 10 , wherein, the program is capable of causing the computer to perform:
extracting the farmer with a potential to farm the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm based on the determination result of the age determination means, the information on presence or absence of a successor, and the information on presence or absence of intention to expand about the each farmer.
14 . The non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland according to claim 13 , wherein, the program is capable of causing the computer to perform:
extracting a recommended candidate from the candidates for the subject liquidated farm based on a distance between the subject liquidated farm and the each block owned by the candidate.
15 . The non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland according to claim 13 , wherein, the program is capable of causing the computer to perform:
extracting a recommended candidate from the candidates for the subject liquidated farm based on whether or not the liquidated farm and the each block owned by the candidate belong to a same geographical community.
16 . The non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland according to claim 10 ,
a degree of importance of any of the determination result of the age determination, the information on presence or absence of a successor, and the information on presence or absence of intention to expand that are used for the prediction by the liquidated farm prediction means is changed based on whether or not the block that is predicted as the liquidated farm by the liquidated farm prediction turns out to be the liquidated farm at determination timing.
17 . The non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland according to claim 13 ,
a degree of importance of any of the determination result of the age determination, the information on presence or absence of a successor, and the information on presence or absence of intention to expand that are used for the extraction by the candidate extraction is changed based on who is the farmer of the liquidated farm in the determination year and beyond.
18 . The non-transitory computer readable medium having stored thereon a simulation program for liquidation of farmland according to claim 10 ,
the simulation device for liquidation of farmland is configured as a server, and a user accesses the server from a terminal that is connected thereto via the Internet.