Fair value model based system, method, and computer program product for valuing foreign-based securities in a mutual fund
View Patent ↗A system for determining fair value prices of financial securities of international markets includes selecting a universe of securities of a particular international market, computing overnight returns of each security in the selected universe over a predetermined past period of time, selecting at least one return factor of a domestic financial market from a plurality of return factors, computing, for each selected return factor, the return factor's daily return over said predetermined past period of time, calculating, for each selected return factor, a return factor coefficient for each security in the selected universe by performing a time series regression to obtain the contribution of each return factor's return to the security's overnight return, and producing each calculated return factor coefficient in a data stream.
1. A system for generating fair value prices of financial securities of international markets, the system comprising:
a fair value server configured to be coupled with a data source so as to receive electronic data for a pre-selected universe of securities of an international market, said server comprising:
a processor; and
a memory coupled to the processor, wherein the memory stores program instructions executable by the processor to:
select with the processor at least one return factor of a domestic financial market based on an out-of-sample performance of the return factor,
compute with the processor, for each selected return factor, the return factor's daily return over a predetermined past period of time,
calculate with the processor, for each selected return factor, a return factor coefficient for each security in the pre-selected universe of securities by performing a time series regression to obtain the contribution of each return factor's return to the security's overnight return, and
transmit a data stream of the calculated return factor coefficients so as to be available to at least one third party via an electronic network.
2. The system of claim 1 , wherein the calculated return factor coefficients can be used in conjunction with current return factor daily return values to predict current overnight returns for all securities in the selected universe of securities, which predicted current overnight returns can be used in conjunction with closing prices on said particular international market of each security of said selected universe to determine a fair value price of each security of said selected universe.
3. The system of claim 1 , wherein the universe of securities comprises the step of selecting securities from the group of substantially all relatively active securities in a selected international market.
4. The system of claim 1 , wherein the overnight returns uses historical price data to compute overnight returns of each said security over said predetermined past period of time.
5. The system of claim 1 , wherein said plurality of return factors includes domestic market return, domestic sector return, exchange traded fund (ETF) return for said selected international market, and American Depositary Receipt (ADR) return for each security in said selected universe.
6. The system of claim 1 , wherein the at least one return factor comprises at least two return factors.
7. The system of claim 1 , wherein the return factor coefficient includes a security price fluctuation factor into said time series regression.