Estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials
View Patent ↗A system is provided for estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials. The system may be implemented as a network service. Traffic data regarding a plurality of travel times on a signalized arterial may be received. A present distribution of the travel times on the signalized arterial may be determined. A prior distribution based on one or more travel time observations may also be determined. The present distribution may be calibrated based on the prior distribution.
1. A method for estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials, the method comprising:
receiving travel data about a signalized arterial collected by one or more reidentification devices, the travel data corresponding to data collected within a common time segment in each of a plurality of different days;
receiving real-time travel data about the signalized arterial collected by one or more reidentification devices; and
executing instructions stored in memory, wherein execution of the instructions by a processor:
normalizes the travel data into a plurality of individual pace values, the pace values expressed as a ratio of time per distance,
calculates an average pace value for the signalized arterial as a linear combination of the individual pace values weighted by distance traveled across the signalized arterial,
estimates a distribution based on the average pace value, travel data, and store the estimated distribution in memory,
calibrates the distribution based on the real-time travel data, and
generates a real-time prediction of the traffic conditions of the signalized arterial based on the calibrated distribution.
2. The method of claim 1 , wherein the travel data is received from one or more mobile GPS devices.
3. The method of claim 1 , wherein the travel data is received from one or more reidentification devices.
4. The method of claim 3 , wherein the reidentification device is a magnetic signature.
5. The method of claim 3 , wherein the reidentification device is a toll tag.
6. The method of claim 3 , wherein the reidentification device is a license plate.
7. The method of claim 3 , wherein the reidentification device is a Bluetooth receiver.
8. The method of claim 1 , wherein the travel data is received from a third-party server that collected the data.
9. The method of claim 1 , wherein the server is an open-source server.
10. A non-transitory computer-readable storage medium, having embodied thereon a program executable by a processor to perform a method for estimating time travel distributions on signalized arterials, the method comprising:
receiving travel data about a signalized arterial collected by one or more reidentification devices, the travel data corresponding to data collected within a common time segment in each of a plurality of different days;
normalizing the travel data into a plurality of individual pace values, the pace values expressed as a ratio of time per distance;
calculating an average pace value for the signalized arterial as a linear combination of the individual pace values weighted by distance traveled across the signalized arterial;
estimating a distribution based on the average pace value, travel data, and store the estimated distribution in memory;
receiving real-time travel data about the signalized arterial collected by one or more reidentification devices;
calibrating the distribution based on the real-time travel data; and
generating a real-time prediction of the traffic conditions of the signalized arterial based on the calibrated distribution.
11. The non-transitory computer-readable storage medium of claim 10 , wherein the travel data is received from one or more mobile GPS devices.
12. The non-transitory computer-readable storage medium of claim 10 , wherein the travel data is received from one or more reidentification devices.
13. The non-transitory computer-readable storage medium of claim 12 , wherein the reidentification device is a magnetic signature.
14. The non-transitory computer-readable storage medium of claim 12 , wherein the reidentification device is a toll tag.
15. The non-transitory computer-readable storage medium of claim 12 , wherein the reidentification device is a license plate.
16. The non-transitory computer-readable storage medium of claim 12 , wherein the reidentification device is a Bluetooth receiver.
17. The non-transitory computer-readable storage medium of claim 10 , wherein the travel data is received from a third-party server that collected the data.
18. The non-transitory computer-readable storage medium of claim 10 , wherein the server is an open-source server.