Systems and methods for controlling PV production within energy export constraints

1. A method of controlling photovoltaic (PV) production and storage at a site having an inverter and a controllable storage load, the method comprising:

(a) monitoring a gross electric load of the site and an actual PV output from the inverter over time;

(b) during a first time period, determining, with a processor, a net load at the site based on the gross electric load and the actual PV output during the first time period;

(c) comparing, with the processor, the net load to at least one of a lower threshold or an upper threshold; and

(d) controlling the PV production and storage by:

when the net load is below the lower threshold, controlling the inverter to turn off PV production;

when the net load is above the upper threshold, setting a set point of the inverter to a target PV output determined based on the gross electric load and a first guard band value; and

when the net load is between the lower threshold and the upper threshold, increasing the set point of the inverter and controlling the controllable storage load to increase its load.

2. The method of claim 1 , wherein the controllable storage load includes at least one of an electrical water heater or a rechargeable battery.

3. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:

repeating (a)-(d) until a system end event occurs.

4. The method of claim 3 , wherein the system end event includes at least one of a system maintenance, a system failure, or a user shut-off.

5. The method of claim 1 , wherein the lower threshold is equal to or less than 5% of the inverter's nominal output power.

6. The method of claim 1 , wherein the upper threshold is equal to or greater than 10% of the inverter's nominal output power.

7. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:

when the net load is below the lower threshold, controlling the controllable storage load, with the processor, to increase the load of the controllable storage load.

8. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:

when the net load is above the upper threshold, controlling the controllable storage load, with the processor, to reduce the load of the controllable storage load.

9. The method of claim 1 , wherein increasing the set point of the inverter and the load of the controllable storage load when the net load is between the lower threshold and the upper threshold includes:

increasing, with the processor, the set point of the inverter by a first value; and

controlling the controllable storage load, with the processor, to increase the load of the controllable storage load by the first value.

10. The method of claim 9 , wherein the first value is equal to a quarter of the lower threshold.

11. The method of claim 1 , further comprising, when the net load is above the lower threshold:

comparing, with the processor, the actual PV output with the set point of the inverter; and

when the actual PV output is lower than the set point of the inverter, setting, with the processor, the set point of the inverter to a lower one of the actual PV output and the gross electric load minus a second guard band value.

12. The method of claim 1 , wherein the first guard band value is equal to the lower threshold.

13. The method of claim 1 , wherein controlling the controllable storage load includes sending control information to a server communicatively coupled to the controllable storage load.

14. A system for controlling photovoltaic (PV) production and storage at a site, comprising:

a processor;

an inverter communicatively coupled to the processor;

a controllable storage load communicatively coupled to the processor; and

at least one meter communicatively coupled to the processor,

wherein the processor is configured to:

obtain a gross electric load of the site from the at least one meter and an actual PV output from the inverter;

determine, during a first time period, a net load at the site based on the gross electric load and the actual PV output during the first time period;

compare the net load to at least one of a predetermined lower threshold or a predetermined upper threshold; and

control the PV production and storage by:

when the net load is below the predetermined lower threshold, controlling the inverter to turn off PV production;

when the net load is above the predetermined upper threshold, setting a set point of the inverter to a target PV output determined based on the gross electric load and a first guard band value; and

when the net load is between the predetermined lower threshold and the predetermined upper threshold, increasing the set point of the inverter and controlling the controllable storage load to increase a load of the controllable storage load.

15. The system of claim 14 , wherein the controllable storage load includes at least one of an electrical water heater or a rechargeable battery.

16. The system of claim 14 , wherein increasing the set point of the inverter and the load of the controllable storage load when the net load is between the predetermined lower threshold and the predetermined upper threshold includes:

increasing the set point of the inverter by a first value; and

controlling the controllable storage load to increase the load of the controllable storage load by the first value.

17. The system of claim 14 , wherein the first guard band value is equal to the predetermined lower threshold.

18. An article comprising a non-transitory storage medium including machine-readable instructions stored thereon that are executable by a processor to:

monitor a gross electric load of a site from a meter and an actual photovoltaic (PV) output from an inverter at the site;

during a first time period, determine a net load at the site based on the gross electric load and the actual PV output during the first time period;

compare the net load to at least one of a lower threshold or an upper threshold; and

control PV production and storage at the site by:

when the net load is below the lower threshold, controlling the inverter to turn off PV production;

when the net load is above the upper threshold, setting a set point of the inverter to a target PV output determined based on the gross electric load and a first guard band value; and

when the net load is between the lower threshold and the upper threshold, increasing the set point of the inverter and controlling a controllable storage load to increase a load of the controllable storage load in correlating control operations.

19. The article of claim 18 , wherein increasing the set point of the inverter and controlling a controllable storage load to increase a load of the controllable storage load in correlating control operations comprises:

increasing the set point of the inverter incrementally by a first amount until the controllable storage load does not respond with a correlating load increase; and

lowering the set point of the inverter by a second amount.

20. The article of claim 18 , wherein the first guard band value is equal to the lower threshold.