Thermostat with estimation of run-time savings

1. A method for determining energy savings of a space controller, the method comprising:

estimating, by one or more processing circuits, a steady state gain of a controlled variable of a heating, ventilation, or air conditioning (HVAC) system, the steady state gain defining a difference between a steady state value of the controlled variable when the HVAC system is active and a steady state value of the controlled variable when the HVAC system is inactive;

determining, by the one or more processing circuits, an actual runtime that HVAC equipment of the HVAC system is in an on state based on a first setpoint or schedule;

predicting, by the one or more processing circuits, a reduction of runtime that the HVAC equipment is in the on state for a second setpoint or schedule based on the actual runtime and the steady state gain; and

adjusting, by the one or more processing circuits, the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule based on the reduction of runtime.

2. The method of claim 1 , wherein the controlled variable comprises at least one of temperature, humidity, gas particulate level, flow rate, air quality, pressure, or combinations thereof.

3. The method of claim 1 , wherein the first setpoint and the second setpoint comprise at least one of temperature setpoints, humidity setpoints, gas particulate level setpoints, flow rate setpoints, air quality setpoints, pressure setpoints, or derivatives thereof.

4. The method of claim 1 , wherein the space controller comprises at least one of a thermostat with an integrated user interface or a headless thermostat.

5. The method of claim 1 , wherein the steady state gain of the controlled variable is estimated based on a balance point corresponding a state of a building at which gains of the controlled variable within the building are equal to losses of the controlled variable within the building.

6. The method of claim 1 , wherein the steady state gain of the controlled variable is estimated based on a measured oscillation amplitude of the HVAC equipment, a time constant, an average on time of the HVAC equipment, and an average cycle time of the HVAC equipment.

7. The method of claim 1 , wherein the steady state gain of the controlled variable is estimated based on an estimated oscillation amplitude of the HVAC equipment calculated at a sample time from a mean-squared error of the controlled variable compared to the first setpoint at the sample time, a cycle period calculated based on an average frequency of changes of an on/off state of the HVAC equipment over a sample period, and an on time calculated at the sample time based on the cycle period.

8. The method of claim 1 , wherein the reduction of runtime corresponds to a difference between the actual runtime and an estimated runtime of the HVAC equipment for the second setpoint or schedule, the difference calculated based on the steady state gain of the controlled variable.

9. The method of claim 1 , wherein the adjusting of the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule comprises:

displaying, by the one or more processors, an indicator corresponding to the reduction of runtime for the second setpoint or schedule on a display device associated with the space controller;

receiving, by the one or more processors, a selection of the second setpoint or schedule; and

adjusting, by the one or more processors, the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule in response to the selection.

10. The method of claim 1 , wherein the adjusting of the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule comprises:

estimating, by the one or more processors, a reduction of energy consumption based on the reduction of runtime for the second setpoint or schedule;

comparing, by the one or more processors, the reduction of energy consumption with a threshold value; and

adjusting, by the one or more processors, the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule in response to the comparison.

11. A space controller comprising:

a processor; and

non-transient memory including instructions that, when executed by the processor, cause the processor to:

estimate a steady state gain of a controlled variable of a heating, ventilation, or air conditioning (HVAC) system, the steady state gain defining a difference between a steady state value of the controlled variable when the HVAC system is active and a steady state value of the controlled variable when the HVAC system is inactive;

determine an actual runtime that HVAC equipment of the HVAC system is in an on state based on a first setpoint or schedule;

predict a reduction of runtime that the HVAC equipment is in the on state for a second setpoint or schedule based on the actual runtime and the steady state gain; and

adjust the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule based on the reduction of runtime.

12. The space controller of claim 11 , wherein:

the controlled variable comprises at least one of temperature, humidity, gas particulate level, flow rate, air quality, pressure, or combinations thereof; and

the first setpoint and the second setpoint comprise at least one of temperature setpoints, humidity setpoints, gas particulate level setpoints, flow rate setpoints, air quality setpoints, pressure setpoints, or derivatives thereof.

13. The space controller of claim 11 , wherein the space controller comprises at least one of a thermostat with an integrated user interface or a headless thermostat.

14. The space controller of claim 11 , wherein the instructions further cause the processor to estimate the steady state gain of the controlled variable based on a balance point corresponding a state of a building at which gains of the controlled variable within the building are equal to losses of the controlled variable within the building.

15. The space controller of claim 11 , wherein the instructions further cause the processor to determine the steady state gain of the controlled variable based on a measured oscillation amplitude of the HVAC equipment, a time constant, average on time of the HVAC equipment, and average cycle time of the HVAC equipment.

16. The space controller of claim 11 , wherein the instructions further cause the processor to determine the steady state gain of the controlled variable based on an estimated oscillation amplitude of the HVAC equipment calculated at a sample time from a mean-squared error of the controlled variable compared to the first setpoint at the sample time, a cycle period calculated based on an average frequency of changes of an on/off state of the HVAC equipment over a sample period, and an on time calculated at the sample time based on the cycle period.

17. The space controller of claim 11 , wherein to adjust the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule, the instructions further cause the processor to:

display an indicator corresponding to the reduction of runtime for the second setpoint or schedule on a display device associated with the space controller;

receive a selection of the second setpoint or schedule; and

adjust the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule in response to the selection.

18. The space controller of claim 11 , wherein to adjust the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule, the instructions further cause the processor to:

estimate a reduction of energy consumption based on the reduction of runtime for the second setpoint or schedule;

compare the reduction of energy consumption with a threshold value; and

adjust the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule in response to the comparison.

19. A distributed computing system comprising:

a plurality of computing devices comprising one or more processors and non-transient memory storing instructions that, when executed by the one or more processors, cause the one or more processors to:

estimate a steady state gain of a controlled variable of a heating, ventilation, or air conditioning (HVAC) system, the steady state gain defining a difference between a steady state value of the controlled variable when the HVAC system is active and a steady state value of the controlled variable when the HVAC system is inactive;

determine an actual runtime that HVAC equipment of the HVAC system is in an on state based on a first setpoint or schedule;

predict a reduction of runtime that the HVAC equipment is in the on state for a second setpoint or schedule based on the actual runtime and the steady state gain; and

adjust the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule based on the reduction of runtime.

20. The distributed computing system of claim 19 , wherein the plurality of computing devices comprise:

a space controller configured to:

determine the actual runtime that the HVAC equipment is in the on state based on the first setpoint or schedule; and

adjust the first setpoint or schedule to the second setpoint or schedule based on the reduction of runtime; and

a remote device communicably coupled to the space controller and configured to:

estimate the steady state gain of the controlled variable of the HVAC system; and

predict the reduction of runtime that the HVAC equipment is in the on state for the second setpoint or schedule based on the actual runtime and the steady state gain.