Systems and methods for selecting content based on linked devices
The present disclosure is directed to associating computing devices with each other based on computer network activity for selection of content items as part of an online content item placement campaign. A first linking factor is identified based on a connection between a first device and the computer network via a first IP address during a first time period, and based on a connection between a second device and the computer network via the first IP address during the first time period. A number of devices that connect with the computer network via the first IP address is determined. A positive match probability is generated. A second and third linking factors are monitored. A negative match probability is determined based on the second and third linking factors. The first device is linked with the second device based on the positive and negative match probabilities.
1. A system to associate computing devices with each other based on computer network activity, comprising:
a data processing system comprising one or more processors, the one or more processors configured to:
identify one or more linking factors based on network activity of a first computing device and network activity of a second computing device, the first computing device proximate to the second computing device;
generate a positive match probability based on the identified one or more linking factors;
link the first computing device with the second computing device based on the positive match probability; and
generate a data structure to indicate a link between the first computing device and the second computing device.
2. The system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
monitor for a second linking factor based on input activity at the first computing device, and based on input activity at the second computing device; and
generate the positive match probability based on the identified one or more linking factors and the second linking factor.
3. The system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
determine a number of computing devices other than the first computing device proximate to the first computing device; and
generate the positive match probability based on the identified one or more linking factors and the number of computing devices proximate to the first computing device.
4. The system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
receive geo-location data points from the first computing device to determine a first location of the first computing device; and
receive geo-location data points from the second computing device to determine the second computing device is proximate to the first computing device.
5. The system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
receive geo-location data points from the first computing device, the geo-location data points comprising at least one of Global Position System information, Wi-Fi information, an IP address, Bluetooth information, or cell tower triangulation information.
6. The system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
increase the positive match probability based on an identification, by the one or more processors of the data processing system, of activity at the first computing device corresponding to a cessation of activity at the second computing device.
7. The system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
increase the positive match probability based on a number of computing devices other than the first computing device proximate to the first computing device.
8. The system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
determine a negative match probability based on activity at the first computing device, and activity at the second computing device during a time period; and
link the first computing device with the second computing device based on the positive match probability and the negative match probability.
9. The system of claim 8 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
link the first computing device with the second computing device based on an overall match probability, the overall match probability based on a weight for positive match probability, a weight for negative match probability, the positive match probability, and the negative match probability.
10. The system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
generate a first vector of activities for the first computing device based on successive data points that indicate a location of the first computing device, activity, and time of day;
generate a second vector of activities for the second computing device based on successive data points that indicate a location of the second computing device, activity, and time of day; and
adjust the positive match probability based on a comparison between the first vector and the second vector.
11. A system to associate computing devices with each other based on computer network activity, comprising:
a data processing system comprising one or more processors, the one or more processors configured to:
generate a data structure indicating a preliminary link between a first computing device and a second computing device;
identify one or more linking factors based on network activity of the first computing device and network activity of the second computing device, the first computing device proximate to the second computing device;
determine a negative match probability based on the identified one or more linking factors; and
remove, from the data structure, the preliminary link between the first computing device and the second computing device based on the negative match probability to indicate a non-link.
12. The system of claim 11 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
determine a number of computing devices other than the first computing device proximate to the first computing device;
generate a positive match probability based on the identified one or more linking factors and based on the number of computing devices; and
remove, from the data structure, the preliminary link between the first computing device and the second computing device based on the negative match probability, the positive match probability, and a threshold.
13. The system of claim 12 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
monitor for a second linking factor based on input activity at the first computing device and based on input activity at the second computing device; and
generate a positive match probability based on the identified one or more linking factors and the second linking factor.
14. The system of claim 11 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
receive geo-location data points from the first computing device to determine a first location of the first computing device; and
receive geo-location data points from the second computing device to determine the second computing device is proximate to the first computing device.
15. The system of claim 11 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
receive geo-location data points from the first computing device, the geo-location data points comprising at least one of Global Position System information, Wi-Fi information, an IP address, Bluetooth information, or cell tower triangulation information.
16. The system of claim 12 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
increase the positive match probability based on an identification, by the one or more processors of the data processing system, of activity at the first computing device corresponding to a cessation of activity at the second computing device;
generate the preliminary link between the first computing device and the second computing device based on the positive match probability.
17. The system of claim 16 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
select a content item for placement with an online document on the second computing device based on network activity of the first computing device.
18. The system of claim 16 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
determine the negative match probability based on activity at the first computing device, and activity at the second computing device during a time period; and
link the first computing device with the second computing device based on the negative match probability.
19. The system of claim 11 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
identify activity from the first computing device at a first location simultaneous to activity from the second computing device at a second location; and
increase the negative match probability based on the identified simultaneous activity.
20. The system of claim 11 , wherein the one or more processors are further configured to:
generate a first vector of activities for the first computing device based on successive data points that indicate a location of the first computing device, activity, and time of day;
generate a second vector of activities for the second computing device based on successive data points that indicate a location of the second computing device, activity, and time of day; and
adjust the negative match probability based on a comparison between the first vector and the second vector.