SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR ESTIMATING THE OPTIMAL NUMBER AND MIXTURE OF TYPES OF ELECTRIC VEHICLE CHARGING STATIONS AT ONE OR MORE POINTS OF INTEREST
An approach is provided for estimating the optimal number and mixture of types of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations (EVCS) at one or more points of interest (POIs). A method includes generating, based on an EV adoption model, an EV adoption prediction. The method includes generating, based on a mobility simulation model, a driver-type prediction that predicts percentages of EV drivers qualifying for various EV driver types. The method includes generating, based on the EV adoption prediction, the driver-type prediction, and a visitation model, a visitation prediction that predicts how many EV drivers of each type of EV driver will visit the POI. The method includes determining and displaying, based on how many EV drivers of each type of EV driver is predicted to visit the POI, for each type of EV charging station of a plurality of types of EV charging stations, an optimal number of EVCS to install.
1 . A method for determining an optimal number and mixture of types of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations for a point of interest (POI), comprising:
based at least in part on an EV adoption model, generating an EV adoption prediction;
based at least in part on a mobility simulation model, generating a driver-type prediction that predicts a percentage of EV drivers that qualify for each type of a plurality of types of EV drivers;
based at least in part on the EV adoption prediction, the driver-type prediction, and a visitation model, generating a visitation prediction that predicts how many EV drivers of each type of EV driver will visit the POI;
based on how many EV drivers of each type of EV driver is predicted to visit the POI, determining, for each type of EV charging station of a plurality of types of EV charging stations, an optimal number of charging stations to install at the POI;
generating a display, on a display device of a computing device, that reflects the optimal number of charging stations of each type of EV charging station to install at the POI;
wherein the method is performed by one or more computing devices.
2 . The method of claim 1 wherein the plurality of types of EV drivers includes essential EV drivers and opportunistic EV drivers.
3 . The method of claim 2 wherein the mobility simulation model generates the driver-type prediction based at least in part on:
a probability distribution of commute distances;
a probability distribution of ranges of EV vehicles;
home charging access data; and
work charging access data.
4 . The method of claim 1 wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a total number of sessions per day, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
5 . The method of claim 1 wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a number of sessions per hour, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
6 . The method of claim 1 wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a number of sessions at a peak hour, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
7 . The method of claim 1 wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a number of number of chargers in use at each hour of a day, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
8 . The method of claim 1 wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict an amount of energy used, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
9 . The method of claim 1 wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a mean dwell time, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
10 . One or more computing devices configured to determine an optimal number and mixture of types of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations for a point of interest (POI), the one or more computing devices configured to:
based at least in part on an EV adoption model, generate an EV adoption prediction;
based at least in part on a mobility simulation model, generate a driver-type prediction that predicts a percentage of EV drivers that qualify for each type of a plurality of types of EV drivers;
based at least in part on the EV adoption prediction, the driver-type prediction, and a visitation model, generate a visitation prediction that predicts how many EV drivers of each type of EV driver will visit the POI;
based on how many EV drivers of each type of EV driver is predicted to visit the POI, determine, for each type of EV charging station of a plurality of types of EV charging stations, an optimal number of charging stations to install at the POI;
generate a display, on a display device of a computing device, that reflects the optimal number of charging stations of each type of EV charging station to install at the POI.
11 . The one or more computing devices of claim 10 , wherein the plurality of types of EV drivers includes essential EV drivers and opportunistic EV drivers.
12 . The one or more computing devices of claim 11 , wherein the one or more computing devices are configured to generate the driver-type prediction based at least in part on:
a probability distribution of commute distances;
a probability distribution of ranges of EV vehicles;
home charging access data; and
work charging access data.
13 . The one or more computing devices of claim 10 , wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a total number of sessions per day, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
14 . The one or more computing devices of claim 10 , wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a number of sessions per hour, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
15 . A non-transitory computer readable medium comprising instructions executable by a processor to determine an optimal number and mixture of types of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations for a point of interest (POI), the determining comprising:
based at least in part on an EV adoption model, generating an EV adoption prediction;
based at least in part on a mobility simulation model, generating a driver-type prediction that predicts a percentage of EV drivers that qualify for each type of a plurality of types of EV drivers;
based at least in part on the EV adoption prediction, the driver-type prediction, and a visitation model, generating a visitation prediction that predicts how many EV drivers of each type of EV driver will visit the POI;
based on how many EV drivers of each type of EV driver is predicted to visit the POI, determining, for each type of EV charging station of a plurality of types of EV charging stations, an optimal number of charging stations to install at the POI;
generating a display, on a display device of a computing device, that reflects the optimal number of charging stations of each type of EV charging station to install at the POI.
16 . The non-transitory computer readable medium of claim 15 , wherein the plurality of types of EV drivers includes essential EV drivers and opportunistic EV drivers.
17 . The non-transitory computer readable medium of claim 16 , wherein the mobility simulation model generates the driver-type prediction based at least in part on:
a probability distribution of commute distances;
a probability distribution of ranges of EV vehicles;
home charging access data; and
work charging access data.
18 . The non-transitory computer readable medium of claim 15 , wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a total number of sessions per day, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
19 . The non-transitory computer readable medium of claim 15 , wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a number of sessions per hour, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.
20 . The non-transitory computer readable medium of claim 15 , wherein the optimal number of each type of EV charging station is determined by a visitation model, and the visitation model is further configured to predict a number of sessions at a peak hour, at the POI, for each type of EV charger.