IP Library Granted Patent US 12,271,925
Granted Patent B2
US 12,271,925 · App. 17/961,514 · Granted Apr 8, 2025

Methods and apparatus to estimate population reach from marginals

Inventors: Michael Sheppard (Holland, MI); Ludo Daemen (Duffel, BE); Damien Forthomme (Seattle, WA); Jake Dailey (San Francisco, CA)
Assignee: The Nielsen Company (US), LLC
G06Q30/0246G06Q30/0277H04N21/812
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Quick Facts
Patent No.
US 12,271,925
App. No.
17/961,514
Granted
Apr 8, 2025
Kind
B2
Abstract

Methods, apparatus, systems, and articles of manufacture are disclosed to estimate population reach from marginals. An example apparatus includes memory including computer readable instructions; and a processor to execute the instructions to: iteratively converge on an output estimate of a pseudo universe estimate of a recorded audience of first media based on (A) a recorded reach for the recorded audience of the first media and (B) first marginal ratings for the recorded audience of the first media; determine a panel representation value based on the pseudo universe estimate of the recorded audience of the first media; and iteratively converge on an output estimate of a final reach of second media for a population audience based on the panel representation value and second marginal ratings for the population audience of the second media.

Claims (19)

1. A computing system to determine reach of media from marginal rating measurements, the computing system comprising:

a plurality of audience measurement meters configured to detect user exposure to media by capturing signals emitted externally by televisions, wherein the plurality of audience measurement meters comprise respective cameras to detect a presence of a user in respective media presentation locations; and

an audience measurement system configured to perform a set of acts comprising:

receiving, from the plurality of audience measurement meters via a network, meter data collectively indicative of a panel reach measurement for a television show at a first time and first panel marginal rating measurements for the television show at the first time,

obtaining, from a media provider via the network, return path data indicative of first population marginal rating measurements for the television show at a first time and second population marginal rating measurements for the television show at the second time,

performing a first plurality of process iterations to iteratively converge on a pseudo universe estimate for the television show at the first time based on the panel reach measurement for the television show at the first time, the first marginal rating measurements for the television show at the first time, and the first population marginal rating measurements for the television show at the first time,

determining a panel representation value for the television show based on the pseudo universe estimate and the panel reach measurement,

storing the panel representation value in a database for reuse in subsequent reach determinations,

performing a second plurality of process iterations to iteratively converge on a reach estimate for the television show at a second time based on the panel representation value stored in the database and the second population marginal rating measurements for the television show at the second time, and

outputting the reach estimate for the television show at the second time.

2. A method to determine reach of media from marginal rating measurements, the method comprising:

detecting, by a plurality of audience measurement meters, user exposure to media by capturing signals emitted externally by televisions, wherein the plurality of audience measurement meters comprise respective cameras to detect a presence of a user in respective media presentation locations;

receiving, by an audience measurement system, from the plurality of audience measurement meters via a network, meter data collectively indicative of a panel reach measurement for a television show at a first time and first panel marginal rating measurements for the television show at the first time;

obtaining, by the audience measurement system from a media provider via the network, return path data indicative of first population marginal rating measurements for the television show at a first time and second population marginal rating measurements for the television show at the second time;

performing, by the audience measurement system, a first plurality of process iterations to iteratively converge on a pseudo universe estimate for the television show at a first time based on the panel reach measurement for the television show at the first time, the first marginal rating measurements for the television show at the first time, and the first population marginal rating measurements for the television show at the first time;

determining, by the audience measurement system, a panel representation value for the television show based on the pseudo universe estimate and the panel reach measurement;

storing, by the audience measurement system, the panel representation value in a database for reuse in subsequent reach determinations;

performing, by the audience measurement system, a second plurality of process iterations to iteratively converge on a reach estimate for television show at a second time based on the panel representation value stored in the database and the second population marginal rating measurements for the television show at the second time; and

utputting the reach estimate for the television show at the second time.

Assignments (4)
SECURITY INTEREST Recorded May 8, 2023
From: GRACENOTE DIGITAL VENTURES, LLC; GRACENOTE MEDIA SERVICES, LLC; GRACENOTE, INC.; TNC (US) HOLDINGS, INC.; THE NIELSEN COMPANY (US), LLC
To: ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION
Reel/Frame 063574/0632 →
SECURITY INTEREST Recorded Apr 28, 2023
From: GRACENOTE DIGITAL VENTURES, LLC; GRACENOTE MEDIA SERVICES, LLC; GRACENOTE, INC.; TNC (US) HOLDINGS, INC.; THE NIELSEN COMPANY (US), LLC
To: CITIBANK, N.A.
Reel/Frame 063561/0381 →
SECURITY AGREEMENT Recorded Jan 31, 2023
From: GRACENOTE DIGITAL VENTURES, LLC; GRACENOTE MEDIA SERVICES, LLC; GRACENOTE, INC.; TNC (US) HOLDINGS, INC.; THE NIELSEN COMPANY (US), LLC
To: BANK OF AMERICA, N.A.
Reel/Frame 063560/0547 →
ASSIGNMENT OF ASSIGNOR'S INTEREST Recorded Dec 16, 2022
From: SHEPPARD, MICHAEL; DAEMEN, LUDO; FORTHOMME, DAMIEN; DAILEY, JAKE
To: THE NIELSEN COMPANY (US), LLC
Reel/Frame 062142/0579 →
Continuity (3)
Continuation PCTUS2021026010 · Apr 6, 2021
Continuation 16843650 · Apr 8, 2020
Related Publication 20230042879A1 · Feb 9, 2023
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