Intelligent automated planning system for large-scale operations
A system for corporate plan determination and validation employing an advanced decision platform comprises a data retrieval module configured to retrieve cooperative venture related data such as financial, operations and historical data related to the current cooperative plan. A predictive analytics module performs predictive risk functions on venture related data. A predictive simulation module performs predictive simulation functions on risk, operations, and financial data. An interactive display module displays the results of predictive analytics and predictive simulation according to pre-designated specifications of the analysts.
1. A computing system for prediction of future performance of large-scale operations and to manage financial, operational and market execution risk employing an intelligent automated planning system, the computing system comprising:
one or more hardware processors configured for:
instantiating a distributed computational graph comprising nodes representing data transformations and edges representing messages between the nodes, wherein:
the distributed computational graph comprises a data processing workflow for analyzing a large-scale operational plan and associated risk factors based on market, operations and financial data retrieved over the web from both corporate operations data stores and other exogenous sources; and
the data transformation of one or more of the nodes comprises receipt of data from at least one physical or virtual sensor or application telemetry source;
storing the data processing workflow of the distributed computational graph;
performing a plurality of analytic and simulation computations as directed by the data processing workflow of the distributed computational graph;
producing a first result comprising a first plurality of estimated future states of the large-scale operational plan under at least one scenario over a finite time horizon; and
producing a second result comprising at least one additional scenario and a second plurality of estimated future states associated with the at least one additional scenario, and a plurality of associated risk factors and their impact on the first and second pluralities of estimated future states.
2. The computing system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more hardware processors are further configured for:
automatically negotiating contract terms for at least two system subscriber parties jointly undertaking the large-scale operational plan using difference estimation analytics such that a resultant contract requires only contract term acceptance by human representatives of the system subscriber parties to bind the parties to carry out the large-scale operational plan.
3. The computing system of claim 2 , wherein natural language processing is used to analyze text of at least one existing contract to extract contract primitives as part of its contract analysis.
4. The computing system of claim 2 , wherein the system determines a valuation and a maximum liability for a counterparty of at least one existing contract or contract portfolio.
5. The computing system of claim 2 , wherein the system renegotiates or optimizes at least one contract in a portfolio of contracts between parties in the large-scale operational plan using existing contract instruments as input.
6. The computing system of claim 2 , wherein the system renegotiates or optimizes at least one contract between corporation parties in at least one multi-corporation venture plan using existing an existing contract instrument as input.
7. The computing system of claim 2 , wherein the one or more hardware processors are further configured for:
determining contract terms for at least two system subscriber parties jointly undertaking the large-scale operational plan using difference estimation analytics such that a resultant contract requires only contract term acceptance by human representatives of the system subscriber parties to bind the parties to carry out the large-scale operational plan;
presenting a contract comprising the contract terms to both of the at least two system subscriber parties; and
obtaining the contract term acceptance by the human representatives.
8. The computing system of claim 1 , wherein the one or more hardware processors are further configured for:
comparing the at least one scenario of the first result to the at least one additional scenario of the second result based on individual metrics and aggregate metrics, wherein the aggregate metrics are determined by at least one objective function.
9. The computing system of claim 8 , wherein multiple objective functions are used to perform the comparison, wherein each objective function of the multiple objective functions is for a different business objective.
10. A computer-implemented method executed on an intelligent automated planning system for prediction of future performance of large-scale operations and to manage financial, operational and market execution risk, the computer implemented method comprising:
instantiating a distributed computational graph comprising nodes representing data transformations and edges representing messages between the nodes, wherein:
the distributed computational graph comprises a data processing workflow for analyzing a large-scale operational plan and associated risk factors based on market, operations and financial data retrieved over the web from both corporate operations data stores and analogous previous venture outcome data stores; and
the data transformation of one or more of the nodes comprises receipt of data from a physical sensor;
storing the data processing workflow of the distributed computational graph;
performing a plurality of analytic and simulation computations as directed by the data processing workflow of the distributed computational graph;
producing a first result comprising a first plurality of estimated future states of the large-scale operational plan under at least one scenario over a finite time horizon; and
producing a second result comprising at least one additional scenario and a second plurality of estimated future states associated with the at least one additional scenario, and a plurality of associated risk factors and their impact on the first and second pluralities of estimated future states.
11. The computer-implemented method of claim 10 , comprising the additional step of:
automatically negotiating contract terms for at least two system subscriber parties jointly undertaking the large-scale operational plan using difference estimation analytics such that a resultant contract requires only contract term acceptance by human representatives of the system subscriber parties to bind the parties to carry out the large-scale operational plan.
12. The computer-implemented method of claim 11 wherein the intelligent automated planning subsystem uses natural language processing to analyze the text of at least one existing contract to extract contract primitives as part of its contract analysis.
13. The computer-implemented method of claim 11 , wherein the intelligent automated planning subsystem is used to intelligently determine a valuation and a maximum liability for a counterparty of at least one existing contract or contract portfolio.
14. The computer-implemented method of claim 11 , wherein the intelligent automated planning subsystem is used to intelligently renegotiate or optimize at least one contract in a portfolio of contracts between parties in the large-scale operational plan using existing contract instruments as input.
15. The computer-implemented method of claim 11 , wherein the intelligent automated planning subsystem is used to intelligently renegotiate or optimize at least one contract between corporation parties in at least one multi-corporation venture plan using existing an existing contract instrument as input.
16. The computer-implemented method of claim 11 , comprising the additional steps of:
determining contract terms for at least two system subscriber parties jointly undertaking the large-scale operational plan using difference estimation analytics such that a resultant contract requires only contract term acceptance by human representatives of the system subscriber parties to bind the parties to carry out the large-scale operational plan;
presenting a contract comprising the contract terms to both of the at least two system subscriber parties; and
obtaining the contract term acceptance by the human representatives.
17. The computer-implemented method of claim 10 , comprising the additional step of:
comparing the at least one scenario of the first result to the at least one additional scenario of the second result based on individual metrics and aggregate metrics, wherein the aggregate metrics are determined by at least one objective function.
18. The computer-implemented method of claim 17 , wherein multiple objective functions are used to perform the comparison, wherein each objective function of the multiple objective functions is for a different business objective.
19. A system for prediction of future performance of large-scale operations and to manage financial, operational and market execution risk employing an intelligent automated planning system, comprising one or more computers each comprising a hardware processor with executable instructions that, when executed, cause the system to:
instantiate a distributed directed computational graph comprising nodes representing data transformations and edges representing messages between the nodes, wherein:
the distributed computational graph comprises a data processing workflow for analyzing a large-scale operational plan and associated risk factors based on market, operations and financial data retrieved over the web from both corporate operations data stores and other exogenous sources; and
the data transformation of one or more of the nodes comprises receipt of data from at least one physical or virtual sensor or application telemetry source;
store the data processing workflow of the distributed computational graph;
perform a plurality of analytic and simulation computations as directed by the data processing workflow of the distributed computational graph;
produce a first result comprising a first plurality of estimated future states of the large-scale operational plan under at least one scenario over a finite time horizon; and
produce a second result comprising at least one additional scenario and a second plurality of estimated future states associated with it the at least one additional scenario, and a plurality of associated risk factors and their impact on the first and second pluralities of estimated future states.
20. The system of claim 19 , wherein the system is further caused to:
automatically negotiate contract terms for at least two system subscriber parties jointly undertaking the large-scale operational plan using difference estimation analytics such that a resultant contract requires only contract term acceptance by human representatives of the system subscriber parties to bind the parties to carry out the large-scale operational plan.
21. The system of claim 20 , wherein the natural language processing is used to analyze the text of at least one existing contract to extract contract primitives as part of its contract analysis.
22. The system of claim 20 , wherein the system is further caused to intelligently determine a valuation and a maximum liability for a counterparty of at least one existing contract or contract portfolio.
23. The system of claim 20 , wherein the system is further caused to renegotiate or optimize at least one contract in a portfolio of contracts between parties the large-scale operational plan using existing contract instruments as input.
24. The system of claim 20 , wherein the system intelligently renegotiates or optimizes at least one contract between corporation parties in at least one multi-corporation venture plan using existing an existing contract instrument as input.
25. The system of claim 20 , wherein the system is further caused to:
determine contract terms for at least two system subscriber parties jointly undertaking the large-scale operational plan using difference estimation analytics such that a resultant contract requires only contract term acceptance by human representatives of the system subscriber parties to bind the parties to carry out the large-scale operational plan;
present a contract comprising the contract terms to both of the at least two system subscriber parties; and
obtain the contract term acceptance by the human representatives.
26. The system of claim 19 , wherein the system is further caused to:
compare the at least one scenario of the first result to the at least one additional scenario of the second result based on individual metrics and aggregate metrics, wherein the aggregate metrics are determined by at least one objective function.
27. The system of claim 26 , wherein multiple objective functions are used to perform the comparison, wherein each objective function of the multiple objective functions is for a different business objective.
28. Non-transitory, computer-readable storage media having computer-executable instructions embodied thereon that, when executed by one or more processors of a computing system employing an intelligent automated planning system for prediction of future performance of large-scale operations and to manage financial, operational and market execution risk, cause the computing system to:
instantiate a distributed computational graph comprising nodes representing data transformations and edges representing messages between the nodes, wherein:
the distributed computational graph comprises a data processing workflow for analyzing a large-scale operational plan and associated risk factors based on market, operations and financial data retrieved over the web from both corporate operations data stores and other exogenous sources; and
the data transformation of one or more of the nodes comprises receipt of data from at least one physical or virtual sensor or application telemetry source;
store the data processing workflow of the distributed computational graph;
perform a plurality of analytic and simulation computations as directed by the data processing workflow of the distributed computational graph;
produce a first result comprising a first plurality of estimated future states of the large-scale operational plan under at least one scenario over a finite time horizon; and
produce a second result comprising at least one additional scenario and a second plurality of estimated future states associated with it the at least one additional scenario, and a plurality of associated risk factors and their impact on the first and second pluralities of estimated future states.
29. The non-transitory, computer-readable storage media of claim 28 , wherein the computing system is further caused to:
automatically negotiate contract terms for at least two system subscriber parties jointly undertaking the large-scale operational plan using difference estimation analytics such that a resultant contract requires only contract term acceptance by human representatives of the system subscriber parties to bind the parties to carry out the large-scale operational plan.
30. The non-transitory, computer-readable storage media of claim 29 , wherein the natural language processing is used to analyze the text of at least one existing contract to extract contract primitives as part of its contract analysis.
31. The non-transitory, computer-readable storage media of claim 29 , wherein the system intelligently determines a valuation and a maximum liability for a counterparty of at least one existing contract or contract portfolio.
32. The non-transitory, computer-readable storage media of claim 29 , wherein the computing system is further caused to intelligently renegotiate or optimize at least one contract in a portfolio of contracts between parties in the large-scale operational plan using existing contract instruments as input.
33. The non-transitory, computer-readable storage media of claim 29 , wherein the computing system is further caused to intelligently renegotiate or optimize at least one contract between corporation parties in at least one multi-corporation venture plan using existing an existing contract instrument as input.
34. The non-transitory, computer-readable storage media of claim 29 , wherein the computing system is further caused to:
determine contract terms for at least two system subscriber parties jointly undertaking the large-scale operational plan using difference estimation analytics such that a resultant contract requires only contract term acceptance by human representatives of the system subscriber parties to bind the parties to carry out the large-scale operational plan;
present a contract comprising the contract terms to both of the at least two system subscriber parties; and
obtain the contract term acceptance by the human representatives.
35. The non-transitory, computer-readable storage media of claim 28 , wherein the computing system is further caused to:
compare the at least one scenario of the first result to the at least one additional scenario of the second result based on individual metrics and aggregate metrics, wherein the aggregate metrics are determined by at least one objective function.
36. The non-transitory, computer-readable storage media of claim 35 , wherein multiple objective functions are used to perform the comparison, wherein each objective function of the multiple objective functions is for a different business objective.