Systems And Methods For Use In Planting Seeds In Growing Spaces
Systems and methods for use in identifying a set of candidate seeds for a target field based on a prediction model are provided. One example method includes accessing, by a computing device, data from a data server, the data including data representative of seeds harvested from at least one of a research growing space, a development growing space, and a field growing space; generating a yield delta prediction model, based on at least a portion of the accessed data; for each of a plurality of candidate seeds, automatically generating a probability of a yield delta for the candidate seed, relative to a target seed, exceeding a performance threshold, based on the generated model; identifying, by the computing device, a set of the candidate seeds, based on the probability of the respective candidate seed satisfying a defined threshold; and outputting, by the computing device, the identified set of seeds to a user.
1 . A computer-implemented method for use in identifying a set of candidate seeds for planting in a target field based on a prediction model, the method comprising:
receiving, by an agricultural computer system, a request for a planting recommendation, from a user, through a mobile application at a field manager computing device, the request including a target field and a target seed; and
in response to the request:
accessing, by the agricultural computer system, data from a data server, the data representative of hundreds of seeds harvested from various growing spaces, the data including at least yield data and location data for the growing spaces;
filtering, by the computing device, the accessed data based on a region including the target field, the region defined based on a center of the region relative to the target field;
training, by the agricultural computer system, from the data representative of hundreds of seeds, a yield delta prediction model for a plurality of candidate seeds, based, at least in part, on the filtered data, a Bayesian framework and a plurality of yield deltas expressed as:
d
ij
1
j
2
=
z
j
1
-
z
j
2
+
σ
i
ε
ij
1
j
2
;
wherein d i is the yield delta, z j 1 , and z j 2 are yield advantages of iterative pairs of the plurality of candidate seeds, and σ i ε i is a noise expression;
for each one of the plurality of candidate seeds, automatically generating, using the trained yield delta prediction model, a probability of said one of the plurality of candidate seeds exceeding a performance threshold, relative to the target seed;
filtering, by the agricultural computer system, the plurality of candidate seeds, based on at least one feature of the target seed and/or the plurality of candidate seeds;
automatically identifying, by the agricultural computer system, from the filtered plurality of candidate seeds, a set of the candidate seeds, based on the generated probability for the respective candidate seed satisfying a defined threshold;
outputting, by the agricultural computer system, to the user, through the mobile application at the field manager computing device, the identified set of candidate seeds to a user; and
in response to at least the identified set of candidate seeds, automatically planting, by an agricultural apparatus, in communication with the agricultural computer system and/or the field manager device, the target seed and at least one of the identified set of candidate seeds in the target field, in a split planting arrangement to permit direct comparison of the target seed and the at least one of the identified set of candidate seeds.
2 . The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , wherein the accessed data further includes a seed identifier of seed(s) planted in the growing spaces; and
wherein the seed(s) planted in the growing spaces include each of the plurality of candidate seeds and the target seed.
3 . The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , wherein the data representative of hundreds of seeds harvested from the field growing spaces includes split planting data indicative at least one of the plurality of candidate seeds and i) at least a different one of the plurality of the candidate seeds or ii) the target seed.
4 . The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , wherein the region defined based on the center of the region relative to the target field includes a best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) region having a centroid closest, among centroids of multiple BLUP regions, to the target field, whereby the filtered data includes data underlying the BLUP region;
wherein the accessed data includes BLUP data for the growing spaces; and
wherein the BLUP data is a basis of the yield advantages expressed as:
z
j
∼
N
(
μ
j
,
τ
j
)
;
μ
j
=
{
BLUP
j
×
γ
,
when
BLUP
j
exists
,
or
0
otherwise
;
and
τ
j
=
{
τ
B
2
+
(
se
(
BLUP
j
)
×
γ
)
when
BLUP
j
exists
,
or
τ
N
2
otherwise
.
5 . The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , wherein the target seed includes a defined relative maturity (RM); and
wherein the at least one feature includes the RM of the target seed.
6 . The computer implemented method of claim 5 , wherein the target seed is further associated with one or more resistances and/or tolerances; and
wherein the at least one feature further includes the one or more resistances and/or tolerances of the target seed.
7 . The computer implemented method of claim 1 , wherein the at least one feature includes a category of each of the plurality of candidate seeds, which is based on an availability of said one of the plurality of candidate seeds.
8 . The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , further comprising generating the yield delta prediction model; and
wherein the probability of said one of the plurality of candidate seeds exceeding the performance threshold is based on a distribution of predicted yield deltas for said one of the plurality of candidate seeds and the target seed.
9 . The computer-implemented method of claim 8 , wherein the performance threshold is between about one bushel/acre and about ten bushels/acre; and/or
wherein the defined threshold is between about 50% and about 100%.
10 . The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , further comprising selecting said at least one of the identified set of candidate seeds, based on an input from the user, via the mobile application; and
wherein automatically planting the target seed and at least one of the identified set of candidate seeds in the target field, in a split planting arrangement, is further based on the input from the user.
11 . A system for use in identifying a set of candidate seeds for planting in a target field based on a prediction model, the system comprising at least one processor configured, by executable instructions, to:
receive a request for a planting recommendation, from a user, through a mobile application at a field manager computing device, the request including a target field and a target seed; and
in response to the request:
access data from a data server, the data representative of hundreds of seeds harvested from various growing spaces, the data including at least yield data and location data for the growing spaces;
filter the accessed data based on a region including the target field, the region defined based on a center of the region relative to the target field;
train, from the data representative of hundreds of seeds, a yield delta prediction model for a plurality of candidate seeds, based, at least in part, on the filtered data, a Bayesian framework and a plurality of yield deltas expressed as:
d
ij
1
j
2
=
z
j
1
-
z
j
2
+
σ
i
ε
ij
1
j
2
;
wherein d i is the yield delta, z j 1 , and z j 2 are yield advantages of iterative pairs of the plurality of candidate seeds, and σ i ε i is a noise expression;
for each one of the plurality of candidate seeds, automatically generate, using the trained yield delta prediction model, a probability of said one of the plurality of candidate seeds exceeding a performance threshold, relative to the target seed;
filter the plurality of candidate seeds, based on at least one feature of the target seed and/or the plurality of candidate seeds;
automatically identify, from the filtered plurality of candidate seeds, a set of the candidate seeds, based on the generated probability for the respective candidate seed satisfying a defined threshold;
output, to the user, through the mobile application at the field manager computing device, the identified set of candidate seeds to a user; and
transmit instructions for execution by an agricultural apparatus to automatically plant the target seed and at least one of the identified set of candidate seeds in the target field, in a split planting arrangement to permit direct comparison of the target seed and the at least one of the identified set of candidate seeds.
12 . The system of claim 11 , wherein the accessed data further includes a seed identifier of seed(s) planted in the growing spaces; and
wherein the seed(s) planted in the growing spaces include each of the plurality of candidate seeds and the target seed.
13 . The system of claim 11 , wherein the data representative of hundreds of seeds harvested from the field growing spaces includes split planting data indicative at least one of the plurality of candidate seeds and i) at least a different one of the plurality of the candidate seeds or ii) the target seed.
14 . The system of claim 11 , wherein the region defined based on the center of the region relative to the target field includes a best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) region having a centroid closest, among centroids of multiple BLUP regions, to the target field, whereby the filtered data includes data underlying the BLUP region;
wherein the accessed data includes BLUP data for the growing spaces; and
wherein the BLUP data is a basis of the yield advantages expressed as:
z
j
∼
N
(
μ
j
,
τ
j
)
;
μ
j
=
{
BLUP
j
×
γ
,
when
BLUP
j
exists
,
or
0
otherwise
;
and
τ
j
=
{
τ
B
2
+
(
se
(
BLUP
j
)
×
γ
)
when
BLUP
j
exists
,
or
τ
N
2
otherwise
.
15 . The system of claim 11 , wherein the target seed includes a defined relative maturity (RM); and
wherein the at least one feature includes the RM of the target seed.
16 . The system of claim 15 , wherein the target seed is further associated with one or more resistances and/or tolerances; and
wherein the at least one feature further includes the one or more resistances and/or tolerances of the target seed.
17 . The system of claim 11 , wherein the at least one feature includes a category of each of the plurality of candidate seeds, which is based on an availability of said one of the plurality of candidate seeds.
18 . The system of claim 11 , wherein the at least one processor is further configured, by the executable instructions, to generate the yield delta prediction model; and
wherein the probability of said one of the plurality of candidate seeds exceeding the performance threshold is based on a distribution of predicted yield deltas for said one of the plurality of candidate seeds and the target seed.
19 . The system of claim 18 , wherein the performance threshold is between about one bushel/acre and about ten bushels/acre; and/or
wherein the defined threshold is between about 50% and about 100%.
20 . The system of claim 11 , wherein the at least one processor is further configured, by the executable instructions, to select said at least one of the identified set of candidate seeds, based on an input from the user, via the mobile application at the field manager computing device, in response to the output of the identified set of candidate seeds to the user through the mobile application; and
wherein the at least one processor is configured, by the executable instructions, to transmit the instructions for execution by the agricultural apparatus to automatically plant the target seed and the at least one of the identified set of candidate seeds in the target field, in response to the input from the user.