Vehicle state quantity predicting apparatus and vehicle steering controller using the same, and a method for predicting a vehicle state quantity and vehicle steering controlling method using the same

1. A vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus, comprising:

a plurality of observation apparatuses that observe prescribed state quantities representing movement of a vehicle;

a prediction apparatus that inputs the prescribed state quantities observed by the observation apparatuses into a vehicle model to predict state quantities representing the movement of the vehicle; and

an evaluation apparatus that sets a reliability of the prescribed state quantities observed by the observation apparatuses for each observation apparatus, wherein

a degree to which the prescribed state quantities observed by the observation apparatuses is reflected in the model is set based on the reliability set by the evaluation apparatus.

2. The vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein the evaluation apparatus sets the reliability based on an observed state that is determined based on observation results of the observation apparatuses themselves, and sets a lower reliability as an observation error of the observed state increases.

3. The vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein the evaluation apparatus sets the reliability based on an observation environment when the prescribed state quantity is observed, and sets a lower reliability as an observation error in the observation environment increases.

4. The vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein the evaluation apparatus sets the reliability based on an elapsed time since the prescribed state quantity was observed, and sets a lower reliability as the elapsed time increases.

5. The vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein the evaluation apparatus sets the reliability based on a traveled distance from an observation point at which the prescribed state quantity was observed, and sets a lower reliability as the traveled distance increases.

6. The vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein the evaluation apparatus is a Kalman filter, in which a term of a standard deviation of an observation error of each observed value is added to an observation equation of the Kalman filter, and wherein the standard deviation is increased as the reliability decreases.

7. The vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein the reliability is created as a database from which the vehicle acquires the reliability.

8. A vehicle steering controller, comprising:

the vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus according to claim 1 ; and

a control signal generator that generates a steering actuator control signal in a steering system, based on the state quantity describing the movement of the vehicle predicted by the vehicle state quantity prediction apparatus.

9. A method for predicting a state quantity of a vehicle, the method executed by a control unit receiving inputs from a plurality of sensors, the method comprising:

the control unit observing a plurality of prescribed state quantities that describe movement of a vehicle and that are supplied by the sensors;

the control unit inputting the observed prescribed state quantities into a model of the movement of the vehicle to predict state quantities representing the movement of the vehicle;

the control unit setting a reliability of the observed prescribed state quantities for each observation; and

the control unit setting a degree to which the observed prescribed state quantities are reflected in the model based on the set reliability.

10. The method for predicting a state quantity of a vehicle according to claim 9 , wherein the reliability is set based on an observed state that is determined based on a result of the observation, and a lower reliability is set as an observation error of the observed state increases.

11. The method for predicting a state quantity of a vehicle according to claim 9 , wherein the reliability is set based on an observation environment when the prescribed state quantity is observed, and a lower reliability is set as an observation error in the observation environment increases.

12. The method for predicting a state quantity of a vehicle according to claim 9 , wherein the reliability is set based on an elapsed time since the prescribed state quantity was observed, and a lower reliability is set as the elapsed time increases.

13. The method for predicting a state quantity of a vehicle according to claim 9 , wherein the reliability is set based on a traveled distance from an observation point at which the prescribed state quantity was observed, and a lower reliability is set as the traveled distance increases.

14. The method for predicting a state quantity of a vehicle according to claim 9 , wherein the setting of the reliability uses a Kalman filter, in which a term of a standard deviation of an observation error of each observed value is added to an observation equation of the Kalman filter, and wherein the standard deviation is increased as the reliability decreases.

15. The method of predicting a state quantity of a vehicle according to claim 9 , wherein the reliability is created as a database from which the vehicle acquires the reliability.

16. A vehicle steering control method, comprising:

predicting a state quantity that describes movement of a vehicle by the method of predicting a state quantity of a vehicle according to claim 9 ; and

generating a steering actuator control signal in a steering system, based on the state quantity describing the movement of the vehicle.