METHOD OF PROVIDING ECONOMETRIC INFORMATION BASED ON REAL TIME/REAL DATA FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
Econometric information is produced based upon real data that has been electronically acquired in real time. The acquired data is analyzed to select data records having attributes unique to a particular activity of interest. The selected data records are aggregated, adjusted, and used to create a statistical index or metric related to an economic activity. The statistical index or metric, together with information illustrating or interpreting information, is electronically distributed. As an example, a Pulse of Commerce Index related to shipment of goods is produced by electronically processing and storing data relating to financial transactions involved in purchase of goods and services. Data records are selected that involve fuel purchases, which act as a proxy for freight activity. Using the selected data records, both national and regional indices based upon fuel purchases are produced and distributed.
1 . A method of providing an index related to shipment of goods, the method comprising:
electronically processing financial transactions involving purchases;
storing, for each transaction, a data record having a plurality of attributes;
filtering the data records to select data records relating to transactions involving fuel purchases;
extracting selected attributes relating to fuel purchases from the selected data records;
aggregating the selected attributes to create a fuel purchase total;
indexing the fuel purchase total to a historical reference point to produce an index; and
electronically distributing the index.
2 . The method of claim 1 and further comprising:
adjusting the index.
3 . The method of claim 2 , wherein adjusting the index comprises:
workday adjusting the index.
4 . The method of claim 2 , wherein adjusting the index comprises:
seasonally adjusting the index.
5 . The method of claim 2 and further comprising:
smoothing the adjusted index.
6 . The method of claim 5 , wherein smoothing the index comprises forming a moving multi-month average of fuel purchases for each month represented by the index.
7 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the attributes include geographic information.
8 . The method of claim 7 , wherein the index comprises a regional index based upon the geographic information.
9 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the index comprises a national index.
10 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the fuel purchases include purchases of diesel fuel.
11 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the fuel purchases include purchases of gasoline by airfreight delivery companies.
12 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the financial transactions are card payment transactions.
13 . The method of claim 1 , wherein the selected attributes comprise: number of gallons, zip code, date, transaction price, and state.
14 . The method of claim 1 , wherein electronically distributing the index includes providing text and graphical material containing an interpretation of the index.
15 . A method of providing an econometric index, the method comprising:
forming a database of data records representing card payment transactions;
analyzing the data records to select only those data records having attributes related to fuel purchases;
aggregating attributes related to the fuel purchases to create an index of the activity indexed to a historical value; and
electronically distributing the index.
16 . The method of claim 15 , wherein the attributes comprise tractor gallons data representing a number of diesel fuel gallons purchased.
17 . The method of claim 15 , wherein the selected attributes comprise: number of gallons, zip code, date, transaction price, and state.
18 . The method of claim 15 and further comprising:
seasonally adjusting the index.
19 . The method of claim 15 and further comprising:
workday adjusting the index.
20 . The method of claim 15 and further comprising:
smoothing the index.
21 . The method of claim 20 , wherein smoothing the index comprises forming a moving multi-month average of fuel purchase for each month represented by the index.
22 . The method of claim 15 , wherein the attributes include geographic information.
23 . The method of claim 22 , wherein the index comprises a regional index based upon the geographic information.
24 . The method of claim 15 , wherein the index comprises a national index.
25 . A system for providing an index related to shipment of goods, the system comprising:
a data center that electronically processes financial transactions involving purchases;
data storage that stores, for each transaction, a data record having a plurality of attributes;
one or more processors that filter the data records to select data records relating to transactions involving fuel purchases, extract selected attributes relating to fuel purchases from the selected data records, aggregate the selected attributes to create a fuel purchase total, and index the fuel purchase total to a historical reference point to produce an index; and
a server that electronically distributes the index.
26 . The system of claim 25 wherein the one or more processors seasonally adjust the index.
27 . The system of claim 25 wherein the one or more processors workday adjust the index.
28 . The system of claim 25 and wherein the one or more processors smooth the index by forming a moving multi-month average of fuel purchases for each month represented by the index.
29 . The system of claim 25 , wherein the selected attributes extracted by the processor comprise: number of gallons, zip code, date, transaction price, and state.
30 . The system of claim 25 , wherein the server electronically distributes the index by providing over a network text and graphical material containing an interpretation of the index.
31 . A system of providing an econometric index, the system comprising:
a database of data records representing card payment transactions;
one or more processors that analyze the data records to select only those data records having attributes related to fuel purchases, and aggregate attributes related to the fuel purchases to create an index of the activity indexed to a historical value; and
a server that electronically distributes the index.
32 . The system of claim 31 , wherein the attributes comprise tractor gallons data representing a number of diesel fuel gallons purchased.
33 . The system of claim 31 , wherein the selected attributes comprise: number of gallons, zip code, date, transaction price and state.
34 . The system of claim 31 , wherein the one or more processors seasonally adjust the index, workday adjusts the index, and smoothes the index.