SYSTEM AMD METHOD FOR DETECTING SHORT SALE FRAUD
Computer-based systems and methods are disclosed for modeling and predicting short sale fraud risks for short sale transactions related to real estate properties. In some embodiments, the systems and methods can predict short sale fraud risks for real estate properties by considering a variety of factors, including AVM analytics characteristics, relationship analysis characteristics, and/or marketing analysis characteristics.
1 . A computer-implemented process for detecting potential short sale fraud, the process comprising:
receiving, by a data processor of a computer system through a network communication channel, property identification information for a property, a short sale notification regarding a short sale of the property, and a short sale price;
requesting, by the data processor of the computer system, calculation of a short sale fraud risk score associated with the short sale of the property, wherein the short sale fraud risk score is calculated by applying a short sale fraud risk model to the property, the short sale fraud risk model generated based at least in part on a determined automated value associated with the real estate property, determined relationship analysis associated with the short sale of the property, and determined marketing analysis associated with the short sale of the real estate property;
receiving, by the data processor of the computer system, the calculated short sale fraud risk score associated with the property; and
storing, by the data processor of the commuter system, the calculated short sale fraud risk score in a data repository.
2 . The process of claim 1 , wherein the short sale fraud risk model comprises a regression model.
3 . The process of claim 1 , wherein the relationship analysis comprises determining whether a relationship exists between the buyer, seller, buyer agent, and seller agent associated with the short sale of the property.
4 . The process of claim 1 , wherein the marketing analysis comprises determining any photographs associated with marketing of the property.
5 . The process of claim 1 , wherein the short sale fraud risk model is further generated based at least in part on determined profile characteristics associated with parties involved with the short sale of the property.
6 . The process of claim 1 , wherein the profile characteristics comprise whether the parties have previously been involved with short sales.
7 . The process of claim 1 , wherein the profile characteristics comprise whether the parties include an LLC.
8 . A system comprising:
physical data storage configured to store property information; and
a computer system in communication with the physical data storage, the computer system comprising computer hardware, the computer system programmed to:
receive property identification information for a property, a short sale notification regarding a short sale of the property, and a short sale price;
determine an automated value for the property by accessing the property information stored in the physical data storage;
determine a difference between the determined automated value and the short sale price;
determine marketing information associated with the short sale of the property;
perform marketing analysis on the marketing information to determine any marketing analysis characteristics associated with the short sale of the property;
generate an alert when the difference between the determined automated value and the short sale price exceeds a predetermined threshold and the marketing analysis characteristics match predetermined marketing criteria that is indicative of potential short sale fraud.
9 . The system of claim 8 , wherein the computer system is further programmed to:
perform relationship analysis based on the short sale of the property; and
generate the alert when the relationship analysis matches predetermined relationship criteria that is indicative of potential short sale fraud.
10 . The system of claim 8 , wherein the relationship analysis comprises determining whether a relationship exists between the buyer, seller, buyer agent, and seller agent associated with the short sale of the property.
11 . The system of claim 10 , wherein the predetermined relationship criteria comprises at least one of a relative, friend, or business acquaintance.
12 . The system of claim 8 , wherein the marketing analysis comprises determining any photographs associated with marketing of the property.
13 . The system of claim 12 , wherein the predetermined marketing criteria comprises a predetermined number of photographs.
14 . The system of claim 8 , wherein the marketing analysis comprises determining any remarks associated with marketing of the property.
15 . The system of claim 14 , wherein the predetermined marketing criteria comprises a predetermined list of terms.
16 . The system of claim 8 , wherein the marketing analysis comprises determining duration of time any advertising associated with marketing of the property is active.
17 . The system of claim 16 , wherein the predetermined marketing criteria comprises a predetermined amount of time.
18 . The system of claim 8 , wherein the automated value is determined by applying an AVM to the property.
19 . The system of claim 19 , wherein the AVM is an AVM specifically directed to determine automated values for distressed properties.
20 . The system of claim 8 , wherein the short sale notification is received post-closing of the short sale.
21 . The system of claim 10 , wherein the predetermined relationship criteria comprises a social networking contact.
22 . The system of claim 14 , wherein the marketing analysis comprises determining length of any remarks associated with marketing of the property.
23 . The system of claim 8 , wherein the computer system is further programmed to:
provide the generated alert to a mortgage insurer, wherein the mortgage insurer may review insurance claims based at least in part on the generated alert.