Cell-bound complement activation products as diagnostic biomarkers for pre-lupus

1. A method of determining whether to classify a patient as exhibiting pre-Lupus, comprising:

receiving a blood sample for a patient who is determined to meet less than four classification criteria for Lupus;

performing cell-bound complement activation product (CB-CAP) assays on the blood sample to generate a set of blood sampling data for the patient, wherein:

the CB-CAP assays comprise a panel of assays using monoclonal antibodies specifically reactive with at least eight of the following CB-CAPs: E-C4d, E-C3d, R-C4d, R-C3d, T-C4d, T-C3d, B-C4d, B-C3d, M-C4d, M-C3d, G-C4d, G-C3d, and P-C4d, and

the set of blood sampling data comprises a plurality of CB-CAP levels for the patient; and

by a processing device:

accessing a control data set, the control data set comprising a control level for each of the CB-CAPs,

comparing the CB-CAP levels for the patient with the control levels to determine a number of the CB-CAPs for which the patient's levels are elevated as compared to the control levels,

if the determined number exceeds a threshold, classifying the patient who was determined to meet less than four classification criteria for Lupus as exhibiting an increased risk of developing Lupus, and

generating a report comprising an indication of whether the patient is classified as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

2. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:

determining whether the patient is exhibiting a decreased level of E-CR1 as compared to the control group; and

classifying the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus only if the patient also exhibits a decreased level of E-CR1 as compared to E-CR1 control levels in the control data set.

3. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:

determining a weight for one or more of the CB-CAPs for which an elevated level is present; and

using the determined weight to assign a probability that the patient is exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

4. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:

determining a magnitude for one or more of the CB-CAPs for which an elevated level is present; and

using the determined magnitude to assign a probability that the patient is exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

5. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:

determining whether the patient exhibits one or more classification criteria; and

using the classification criteria to assign a probability that the patient is exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

6. A system for determining whether to classify a patient as exhibiting pre-Lupus, comprising:

a data storage facility holding a control data set of blood sampling data for a control subject population, wherein a first group of the subjects in the population are known to have Lupus and a second group of the subjects in the population are known to not have Lupus, and wherein the blood sampling data includes levels of cell-bound complement activation products (CB-CAPs) for each of the subjects;

a processing device; and

a computer-readable medium containing programming instructions that are configured to instruct the processing device to:

receive a set of blood sampling data for a patient, wherein the set of blood sampling data comprises a plurality of CB-CAP levels for the patient;

compare the CB-CAP levels for the patient with the control levels to determine a number of the CB-CAPs for which the patient's levels are elevated as compared to the control levels so that the comparing is performed with a panel of assays using monoclonal antibodies specifically reactive with at least eight of the following CB-CAPs: E-C4d, E-C3d, R-C4d, R-C3d, T-C4d, T-C3d, B-C4d, B-C3d, M-C4d, M-C3d, G-C4d, G-C3d, and P-C4d;

if the determined number exceeds a threshold, classify the patient who was determined to meet less than four classification criteria for Lupus as exhibiting an increased risk of developing Lupus; and

generate a report comprising an indication of whether the patient is classified as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

7. The system of claim 6 , further comprising additional programming instructions to:

determine whether the patient is exhibiting a decreased level of E-CR1 as compared to the control group; and

classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus only if the patient also exhibits a decreased level of E-CR1 as compared to E-CR1 control levels in the control data set.

8. The system of claim 6 :

further comprising additional instructions that are configured to instruct the processing device to determine a weight for one or more of the CB-CAPs for which an elevated level is present; and

wherein the instructions that instruct the processing device to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus comprise instructions to also use the determined weight for one or more of the compared CB-CAPs to determine whether to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

9. The system of claim 6 :

further comprising additional instructions that are configured to instruct the processing device to determine a magnitude for one or more of the CB-CAPs for which an elevated level is present; and

wherein the instructions that instruct the processing device to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus comprise instructions to also use the determined magnitude for one or more of the compared CB-CAPs to determine whether to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

10. The system of claim 6 :

further comprising additional instructions that are configured to instruct the processing device to determine whether the patient exhibits one or more classification criteria; and

wherein the instructions that instruct the processing device to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus comprise instructions to also use the classification criteria to determine whether to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

11. A system for determining whether to classify a patient as exhibiting pre-Lupus, comprising:

a data storage facility holding a control data set of blood sampling data for a control subject population, wherein a first group of the subjects in the population are known to have Lupus and a second group of the subjects in the population are known to not have Lupus, and wherein the blood sampling data includes levels of cell-bound complement activation products (CB-CAPs) for each of the subjects;

a processing device; and

a computer-readable medium containing programming instructions that are configured to instruct the processing device to:

receive a set of blood sampling data for a patient, wherein the set of blood sampling data comprises a plurality of CB-CAP levels for the patient, wherein the CB-CAP levels are measured with for a panel of assays using monoclonal antibodies specifically reactive with at least eight of the following CB-CAPs: E-C4d, E-C3d, R-C4d, R-C3d, T-C4d, T-C3d, B-C4d, B-C3d, M-C4d, M-C3d, G-C4d, G-C3d, and P-C4d;

compare the CB-CAP levels for the patient with the control levels to determine a number of the CB-CAPs for which the patient's levels are elevated as compared to the control levels;

determine whether the patient is exhibiting a decreased level of E-CR1 as compared to the control group;

if the determined number of the CB-CAPs for which the patient's levels are elevated exceeds a threshold and the patient is exhibiting the decreased level of E-CR1, classify the patient who was determined to meet less than four classification criteria for Lupus as exhibiting an increased risk of developing Lupus; and

generate a report comprising an indication of whether the patient is classified as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

12. The system of claim 11 :

further comprising additional instructions that are configured to instruct the processing device to determine a weight for one or more of the CB-CAPs for which an elevated level is present; and

wherein the instructions that instruct the processing device to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus comprise instructions to also use the determined weight for one or more of the compared CB-CAPs to determine whether to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

13. The system of claim 11 :

further comprising additional instructions that are configured to instruct the processing device to determine a magnitude for one or more of the CB-CAPs for which an elevated level is present; and

wherein the instructions that instruct the processing device to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus comprise instructions to also use the determined magnitude for one or more of the compared CB-CAPs to determine whether to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

14. The system of claim 11 :

further comprising additional instructions that are configured to instruct the processing device to determine whether the patient exhibits one or more classification criteria; and

wherein the instructions that instruct the processing device to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus comprise instructions to also use the classification criteria to determine whether to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

15. A method of determining whether to classify a patient as exhibiting pre-Lupus, comprising:

receiving a blood sample for a patient who is determined to meet less than four classification criteria for Lupus;

performing a panel of cell-bound complement activation product (CB-CAP) assays on the blood sample to generate a set of blood sampling data for the patient, wherein:

the set of blood sampling data comprises levels for the patient measured using monoclonal antibodies specifically reactive with the following CB-CAPs;

E-C4d, R-C4d, T-C4d, B-C4d, M-C4d, G-C4d, and P-C4d, and

the set of blood sampling data comprises a level of E-CR1 for the patient; and

by a processing device:

comparing the CB-CAP levels for the patient with a set of control levels to determine a number of the CB-CAPs for which the patient's CB-CAP levels are elevated as compared to the control levels,

determining whether the patient is exhibiting a decreased level of E-CR1 as compared to a control level,

generating a score based upon the number of the CB-CAPs for which the patient's CB-CAP levels exceeds a threshold and whether the patient is exhibiting a decreased level of E-CR1, and

if the score is determined to be greater than an average score for patients with immune-inflammatory diseases that are not Lupus or pre-Lupus, classifying the patient as exhibiting an increased risk of developing Lupus but not having Lupus.

16. The method of claim 15 , further comprising:

determining a weight for one or more of the CB-CAPs for which an elevated level is present; and

also using the determined weight for one or more of the compared CB-CAPs to determine whether to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

17. The method of claim 15 , further comprising:

determining a magnitude for one or more of the CB-CAPs for which an elevated level is present; and

also using the use the determined magnitude for one or more of the CB-CAPs to determine whether to classify the patient as exhibiting the increased risk of developing Lupus.

18. The system of claim 6 , further comprising:

a flow cytometer for generating blood sampling data; and

wherein the blood sampling data has been generated by the flow cytometer.