Personal warning temperature (PWT)
The Personal Warning Temperature (PWT) is a method of determining a person's personal warning temperature that defines a fever for that person. The method includes analyzing a person's body temperature measurements taken over time when the person is healthy, in order to find the person's average temperature; standard deviation; a channel defined by an upper and lower temperature bound using the average and standard deviation, and a selected multiplier for the standard deviation, such that nearly all body temperatures fall within the channel; and a personal warning temperature similarly defined using the average, standard deviation, and another selected multiplier for the standard deviation. The method also determines a correction or interpretation of a person's body temperature based on the time of day to account for known variations associated with circadian rhythm. A person can use their personal warning temperature for improved and accelerated awareness of their health status.
1. A method for indicating an internal temperature of an individual relative to a determined warning temperature curve of the individual, the method comprising:
recording, over at least one 24-hour period, a series of pairs of temperature and time data, each data pair including a measured baseline internal temperature of the individual using a temperature sensor and a corresponding temperature measurement time of day;
determining a mathematical function that fits an average temperature curve over the series of data pairs for the at least one 24-hour period, wherein the mathematical function is determined by machine learning methods;
calculating a standard deviation channel width based on the time of day for the series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual, the standard deviation channel width defining an upper temperature curve with respect to the average temperature curve over the series of data pairs;
determining, based on a product of the standard deviation channel width and a standard deviation multiplier, a warning temperature curve of the individual based on the time of day, the warning temperature curve being greater than the upper temperature curve;
obtaining a second internal temperature of the individual using the temperature sensor; and
providing an indication of the second internal temperature of the individual relative to the warning temperature curve.
2. The method of claim 1 , wherein obtaining the series of pairs of temperature and time data of the individual are further obtained by at least one of:
a same temperature sensor for each of the series of baseline internal temperatures;
a similar location on the body of the individual for each of the series of baseline internal temperatures.
3. The method of claim 1 , wherein providing an indication of the second internal temperature of the individual relative to the warning temperature curve further includes at least one of:
displaying the warning temperature curve on a graph; and
displaying the series of baseline internal temperatures on the graph.
4. The method of claim 1 , wherein each of the series of baseline internal temperatures are separated by a similar period of time over the at least one 24-hour period.
5. The method of claim 4 , wherein the at least one 24-hour period includes a plurality of 24-hour periods of time.
6. The method of claim 1 , further including adjusting a measured baseline internal temperature of the individual based on time of day expected variations.
7. The method of claim 6 , wherein the time of day expected variations are visually represented relative to fixed values of the standard deviation channel width and the warning temperature curve.
8. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:
obtaining a second internal temperature of the individual using the temperature sensor;
determining a second standard deviation channel width based on the time of day including the second internal temperature and the series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual to further determine, based on a second product of the standard deviation channel width and a first standard deviation multiplier, a second warning temperature curve of the individual based on the time of day, the second warning temperature curve being greater than the upper temperature curve;
providing an indication of the second warning temperature curve to the individual.
9. The method of claim 1 , wherein the standard deviation channel width includes at least 95-percent of the obtained series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual.
10. The method of claim 1 , wherein the determined warning temperature curve is less than 100.4 degrees Fahrenheit.
11. A method of providing a warning temperature curve of an individual, the method comprising:
recording, over at least one 24-hour period, a series of pairs of temperature and time data, each data pair including a measured baseline internal temperature of the individual using a temperature sensor and a corresponding temperature measurement time of day;
determining a mathematical function that fits an average temperature curve over the series of data pairs for the at least one 24-hour period, wherein the mathematical function is determined by machine learning methods;
calculating a standard deviation channel width based on the time of day for the series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual, the standard deviation channel width defining an upper temperature curve with respect to the average temperature curve over the series of data pairs;
determining, based on a product of the standard deviation channel width and a standard deviation multiplier, a warning temperature curve of the individual based on the time of day, the warning temperature curve being greater than the upper temperature curve; and
providing an indication of the second internal temperature of the individual relative to the warning temperature curve.
12. The method of claim 11 , wherein providing the indication of the warning temperature curve of the individual relative to the series of baseline internal temperatures further includes at least one of:
displaying the warning temperature curve on a graph; and
displaying the series of baseline internal temperatures on the graph.
13. The method of claim 11 , further comprising:
obtaining a second internal temperature of the individual using the temperature sensor;
determining a second standard deviation channel width based on the time of day including the second internal temperature and the series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual to further determine, based on a second product of the standard deviation channel width and a first standard deviation multiplier, a second warning temperature curve of the individual based on the time of day, the second warning temperature curve being greater than the upper temperature curve;
providing an indication of the second warning temperature curve to the individual.
14. The method of claim 11 , wherein the standard deviation channel width includes at least 95-percent of the obtained series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual.
15. The method of claim 11 , wherein the determined warning temperature curve is less than 100.4 degrees Fahrenheit.
16. A method of identifying a warning temperature curve of an individual, the method comprising:
recording, over at least one 24-hour period, a series of pairs of temperature and time data, each data pair including a measured baseline internal temperature of the individual using a temperature sensor and a corresponding temperature measurement time of day;
determining a mathematical function that fits an average temperature curve over the series of data pairs for the at least one 24-hour period, wherein the mathematical function is determined by machine learning methods;
calculating a standard deviation channel width based on the time of day for the series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual, the standard deviation channel width defining an upper temperature curve with respect to the average temperature curve over the series of data pairs;
determining, based on a product of the standard deviation channel width and a standard deviation multiplier, a warning temperature curve of the individual based on the time of day, the warning temperature curve being greater than the upper temperature curve; and
identifying, to the individual, the warning temperature curve of the individual.
17. The method of claim 16 , wherein identifying, to the individual, the warning temperature curve of the individual, further includes at least one of:
displaying the warning temperature curve on a graph; and
displaying the series of baseline internal temperatures on the graph.
18. The method of claim 16 , further comprising:
obtaining a second internal temperature of the individual using the temperature sensor;
determining a second standard deviation channel width based on the time of day including the second internal temperature and the series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual to further determine, based on a second product of the standard deviation channel width and a first standard deviation multiplier, a second warning temperature curve of the individual based on the time of day, the second warning temperature curve being greater than the upper temperature curve;
providing an indication of the second warning temperature curve to the individual.
19. The method of claim 16 , wherein the standard deviation channel width includes at least 95-percent of the obtained series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual, and
wherein the determined warning temperature curve is less than 100.4 degrees Fahrenheit.
20. A method for indicating an internal temperature of an individual relative to a determined warning temperature curve of the individual, the method comprising:
recording, over at least one 24-hour period, a series of pairs of temperature and time data, each data pair including a measured baseline internal temperature of the individual using a temperature sensor and a corresponding temperature measurement time of day;
determining a mathematical function that fits an average temperature curve over the series of data pairs for the at least one 24-hour period;
calculating a standard deviation channel width based on the time of day for the series of baseline internal temperatures of the individual, the standard deviation channel width defining an upper temperature curve with respect to the average temperature curve over the series of data pairs;
determining, based on a product of the standard deviation channel width and a standard deviation multiplier, a warning temperature curve of the individual based on the time of day, the warning temperature curve being greater than the upper temperature curve;
obtaining a second internal temperature of the individual using the temperature sensor;
providing an indication of the second internal temperature of the individual relative to the warning temperature curve; and
adjusting a measured baseline internal temperature of the individual based on time of day expected variations, wherein the time of day expected variations are visually represented relative to fixed values of the standard deviation channel width and the warning temperature curve.