IP Library Granted Patent US 12,242,021
Granted Patent B2
US 12,242,021 · App. 17/559,507 · Granted Mar 4, 2025

Automatic weather event impact estimation

Inventors: Dario Augusto Borges Oliveira (Paraíso, BR); Bianca Zadrozny (Rio de Janeiro, BR); Campbell D Watson (Brooklyn, NY); Jorge Luis Guevara Diaz (Sao Paulo, BR)
Assignee: International Business Machines Corporation
G01W1/10G06N3/04G06N7/01H04W4/90
View Patent ↗
Loading inventors, assignments & file history…
Monitor This Case
Get email alerts when status or documents change.
Order Certified Copies
Most orders are placed with the USPTO same day — all within 24 business hours.
Order via The Patent Place →
Pre-filled with this patent's details
Quick Facts
Patent No.
US 12,242,021
App. No.
17/559,507
Filed
Dec 22, 2021
Granted
Mar 4, 2025
Kind
B2
Art Unit
2863
USPC
702/3
Abstract

A processor may receive weather event data. The processor may determine, utilizing an artificial intelligence model mapping weather events having weather impacts with a higher likelihood of occurrence proximate to each other in the latent space, a weather impact associated with a weather event. In some embodiments, the artificial intelligence model may be trained using historical weather event data and historical weather impact data associated with the historical weather event data. The processor may output the weather impact associated with the weather event to a user.

Claims (46)

1. A computer-implemented method, the method comprising:

receiving, by a processor, data corresponding to a future weather event, wherein a portion of the data is collected using a sensor;

identifying an artificial intelligence (“AI”) model, wherein the AI model has been trained using historical weather event data, historical weather impact data associated with the historical weather event data, and contextual information, wherein the contextual information includes data about the sensor;

mapping weather events having weather impacts with a higher likelihood of occurrence proximate to each other in a latent space in the context of the artificial intelligence model;

determining, utilizing the AI model, a weather impact associated with the future weather event; and

outputting the weather impact associated with the future weather event to a user, wherein the output weather impact comprises an estimate of property damage monetary cost, a prediction of types of property damage resulting from the future weather event, and a repair time;

wherein determining the weather impact associated with the future weather event includes interpolating weather impacts of neighboring weather events in the latent space.

2. The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , further comprising:

outputting an estimated likelihood of the weather impact.

3. The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , further comprising:

outputting an estimated likelihood of occurrence of the future weather event.

4. The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , the method further comprising:

selecting a portion of contextual information associated with generating the AI model.

5. The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , wherein the AI model utilizes a variational auto-encoder neural network.

6. The computer-implemented method of claim 1 , wherein the AI model maps historical weather event data into a probabilistic distribution.

7. A system comprising:

a memory; and

a processor in communication with the memory, the processor being configured to perform operations comprising:

receiving, by a processor, data corresponding to a future weather event, wherein a portion of the data is collected using a sensor;

identifying an artificial intelligence (“AI”) model, wherein the AI model has been trained using historical weather event data, historical weather impact data associated with the historical weather event data, and contextual information, wherein the contextual information includes data about the sensor;

mapping weather events having weather impacts with a higher likelihood of occurrence proximate to each other in a latent space in the context of the artificial intelligence model;

determining, utilizing the AI model, a weather impact associated with the future weather event; and

outputting the weather impact associated with the future weather event to a user, wherein the output weather impact comprises an estimate of property damage monetary cost, a prediction of types of property damage resulting from the future weather event, and a repair time;

wherein determining the weather impact associated with the weather event includes interpolating weather impacts of neighboring weather events in the latent space.

8. The system of claim 7 , the processor being configured to perform operations comprising:

outputting an estimated likelihood of the weather impact.

9. The system of claim 7 , the processor being configured to perform operations comprising:

outputting an estimated likelihood of occurrence of the future weather event.

10. The system of claim 7 , wherein the processor is further configured to perform operations comprising:

selecting a portion of contextual information associated with generating the AI model.

11. The system of claim 7 , wherein the AI model utilizes a variational auto-encoder neural network.

12. The system of claim 7 , wherein the AI model maps historical weather event data into a probabilistic distribution.

13. A computer program product comprising a computer readable storage medium having program instructions embodied therewith, the program instructions executable by a processor to cause the processor to perform operations, the operations comprising:

receiving, by a processor, data corresponding to a future weather event, wherein a portion of the data is collected using a sensor;

identifying an artificial intelligence (“AI”) model, wherein the AI model has been trained using historical weather event data, historical weather impact data associated with the historical weather event data, and contextual information, wherein the contextual information includes data about the sensor;

mapping weather events having weather impacts with a higher likelihood of occurrence proximate to each other in a latent space in the context of the artificial intelligence model;

determining, utilizing the AI model, a weather impact associated with the future weather event; and

outputting the weather impact associated with the future weather event to a user, wherein the output weather impact comprises an estimate of property damage monetary cost, a prediction of types of property damage resulting from the future weather event, and a repair time;

wherein determining the weather impact associated with the weather event includes interpolating weather impacts of neighboring weather events in the latent space.

14. The computer program product of claim 13 , the processor being configured to perform operations comprising:

outputting an estimated likelihood of the weather impact.

15. The computer program product of claim 13 , the processor being configured to perform operations comprising:

outputting an estimated likelihood of occurrence of the future weather event.

16. The computer program product of claim 13 , the processor being configured to perform operations comprising:

selecting a portion of contextual information associated with generating the AI model.

17. The computer program product of claim 13 , wherein the AI model maps historical weather event data into a probabilistic distribution.

Assignments (1)
ASSIGNMENT OF ASSIGNOR'S INTEREST Recorded Dec 22, 2021
From: BORGES OLIVEIRA, DARIO AUGUSTO; ZADROZNY, BIANCA; WATSON, CAMPBELL D; GUEVARA DIAZ, JORGE LUIS
To: INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
Reel/Frame 058462/0807 →
Continuity (1)
Related Publication 20230194753A1 · Jun 22, 2023
References Cited (47)
US 5926401A · Montag · 1999 [cited by applicant]
US 7200491B1 · Rose, Jr. · 2007 [cited by applicant]
US 7542852B1 · Rose · 2009 [cited by applicant]
US 7949330B2 · Yuhara · 2011 [cited by applicant]
US 8280633B1 · Eldering · 2012 [cited by examiner]
US 8781989B2 · Duchon · 2014 [cited by examiner]
US 8959168B2 · Praun · 2015 [cited by applicant]
US 9529974B2 · Li · 2016 [cited by applicant]
US 10284537B2 · Liu · 2019 [cited by applicant]
US 10706329B2 · Anushiravani · 2020 [cited by applicant]
US 11315046B1 · Cook · 2022 [cited by examiner]
US 11367053B2 · Watson · 2022 [cited by examiner]
US 20050187714A1 · Brulle-Drews · 2005 [cited by applicant]
US 20130024118A1 · Gershunov · 2013 [cited by examiner]
US 20130085673A1 · Cavalcante · 2013 [cited by applicant]
US 20130110399A1 · Moss · 2013 [cited by applicant]
US 20140195159A1 · Mewes · 2014 [cited by examiner]
US 20140324352A1 · Hamann · 2014 [cited by examiner]
US 20140371923A1 · Weaver · 2014 [cited by applicant]
US 20160196513A1 · Mallon · 2016 [cited by applicant]
US 20170131435A1 · Peacock · 2017 [cited by examiner]
US 20170299772A1 · Yuzhakov · 2017 [cited by examiner]
US 20180165554A1 · Zhang · 2018 [cited by applicant]
US 20180182222A1 · Smith · 2018 [cited by applicant]
US 20180218303A1 · Cole · 2018 [cited by examiner]
US 20200241490A1 · Jermann · 2020 [cited by applicant]
US 20210103051A1 · Tang · 2021 [cited by examiner]
US 20210215848A1 · Mukherjee · 2021 [cited by examiner]
US 20210271934A1 · White · 2021 [cited by examiner]
US 20210319313A1 · Warren · 2021 [cited by examiner]
US 20210357680A1 · Chen · 2021 [cited by examiner]
US 20220209876A1 · Sitaram · 2022 [cited by examiner]
US 20240103197A1 · Gollnick · 2024 [cited by examiner]
CN 104635637A · 2015 [cited by applicant]
CN 103810537B · 2016 [cited by applicant]
JP 2018163159A · 2018 [cited by applicant]
KR 100963849B1 · 2010 [cited by applicant]
Abbot, J., Marohasy, J. Application of artificial neural networks to rainfall forecasting in Queensland, Australia. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 29, 717-730 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-012-1259-9. (Year: 2012). [cited by examiner]
Schultz M. G., Betancourt C., Gong B., Kleinert F., Langguth M., Leufen L. H., Mozaffari A. and Stadtler S. 2021Can deep learning beat numerical weather prediction?Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A.37920200097. (Year: 2021). [cited by examiner]
Klemmer, Konstantin & Saha, Sudipan & Kahl, Matthias & Xu, Tianlin & Zhu, Xiao. (2021). Generative modeling of spatio-temporal weather patterns with extreme event conditioning. (Year: 2021). [cited by examiner]
D. A. B. Oliveira, J. G. Diaz, B. Zadrozny, C. D. Watson and X. X. Zhu, “Controlling Weather Field Synthesis Using Variational Autoencoders,” IGARSS 2022—2022 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, … [cited by examiner]
Davvetas, et al., “Unsupervised Severe Weather Detection Via Joint Representation Learning Over Textual and Weather Data.” Published May 14, 20 by ARXIV. 6 pages. https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.07243. [cited by applicant]
Dee, et al. “The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system.” In Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 137: pp. 553-597, Apr. 2011. 45 pages. [cited by applicant]
Hossain, et al., “Forecasting the Weather of Nevada: A Deep Learning Approach.” 2015 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN), 2015, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/IJCNN.2015.7280812. [cited by applicant]
Mell, et al., “The NIST Definition of Cloud Computing,” Recommendations of the National Institute of Standards and Technology, U.S. Department of Commerce, Special Publication 800-145, Sep. 2011, 7 pgs. [cited by applicant]
Michalakes, et al. “The Weather Research and Forecast Model Version 2.0.” 11th ECMWF Workshop on Use of High Performance Computing in Meteorology. Oct. 25-29, 2004. 18 pages. [cited by applicant]
Racah, et al. “ExtremeWeather: A large-scale climate dataset for semi-supervised detection, localization, and understanding of extreme weather events.” Published Nov. 25, 2017 by ARXIV. 12 pages. 31st Conference on Neur… [cited by applicant]