Comprehensive, multi-species environmental modeling system
The present invention is a computer modeling system for creating a comprehensive environmental impact model. The system performs a series of novel functions to reflect the impact of multiple emissions on all species of interest within an environment at designated concentration levels. The system can be further utilized as a repository to update environmental data received from scientific researchers and to update existing models accordingly. The system integrates new data and updates calculations to create increasingly complex, comprehensive and reliable predictive models for users, which include US and foreign entities charged with developing emissions standards.
1. A computer apparatus for creating an environmental impact model comprised of:
a plurality of emission objects representing emission types, each of said plurality of emission objects comprised of:
emission properties,
a processing function which is invoked to update said emission properties,
at least one species impact model comprised of value pairs wherein each of said value pairs links a quantified species impact value to an emission concentration value to represent the impact of an emission type on at least one species;
a composite index processor configureed to perform a composite index function; and
a reliability processor configured to perform a reliability function which represents the sensitivity of a function to changes in input variables,
wherein an input interface of said reliability processor receives input selected from a group consisting of a sensitivity analysis type input, a substance parameter data set P, and a sample number S,
calculates a sample parameter data set Qs from said substance parameter data set P using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm,
inputs said sample parameter data set Qs into a function,
calculates a response data set Rs using said function,
calculates a mean of said response data set Rs,
calculates a median of said response data set Rs,
calculates a variance of said response data set Rs,
calculates a primary variance contributor from said response data set Rs using a correlation method, and
outputs said mean, said median, said variance, and said primary variance contributor.
2. The computer apparatus of claim 1 , wherein at least one emission type is comprised of a plurality of emitted substances.
3. The computer apparatus of claim 1 , wherein said processing function is invoked to perform an extrapolation function, wherein said extrapolation function populates said at least one species impact model with at least one statistically extrapolated value pair.
4. The computer apparatus of claim 1 , which further includes a toxic equivalency model processor to indentify toxic equivalent values by extracting said emissions concentration value from two or more emissions data objects.
5. The computer apparatus of claim 4 , wherein said toxic equivalency model processor displays said emissions concentration values in native units.
6. The computer apparatus of claim 4 , wherein each of said plurality of emission objects further includes at least one substance parameter value used as a data key: and wherein at least one quantified species impact value of one of said plurality of emission objects is used as a data key to retrieve an equivalent concentration value from at least another of said plurality of emission objects.
7. A computer apparatus for creating an environmental impact model comprised of:
a plurality of emission objects representing emission types, each of said plurality of emission objects comprised of:
emission properties,
a processing function which is invoked to update said emission properties,
at least one species impact model comprised of value pairs wherein each of said value pairs links a quantified species impact value to an emission concentration value to represent the impact of an emission type on at least one species;
a composite index processor configured to perform a composite index function; and
an interface to receive new emission properties;
wherein said composite index function is expressed as:
(i) receiving an emission number M;
(ii) receiving a rate variable data set I j , wherein I j is a rate at which a j th emission type enters an environment over time;
(iii) receiving a plurality of emissions concentration values X j , wherein each one of the plurality of emissions concentration values X j is associated with a corresponding quantified species impact value that is 50%;
(iv) receiving a plurality of emissions concentration values Y j , wherein each one of the plurality of emissions concentration values Y j is associated with a corresponding quantified species impact value that is 10%;
(v) receiving a reference emissions concentration value X, wherein the reference emissions concentration value X is associated with a corresponding quantified species impact value that is 50%;
(vi) receiving a reference emissions concentration value Y, wherein the reference emissions concentration value Y is associated with a corresponding quantified species impact value that is 10%;
(vii) calculating an environmental concentration variable data set C j ;
(viii) calculating a concentration weighing variable data set ω j using the equation:
ω
j
=
(
C
j
X
j
)
l
n
(
X
/
Y
)
l
n
(
X
j
/
Y
j
)
-
1
(ix) calculating an effective concentration variable C eff using the equation:
C
eff
=
∑
j
=
1
M
ω
j
(
X
X
j
)
C
j
(x) calculating an effect variable XF based on the reference emissions concentration value X, the reference emissions concentration value Y, the emission number M, and the effective concentration variable C eff ;
(xi) calculating a composite index value V t based on the effect variable XF; and
(xii) outputting said composite index value V t .
8. The computer apparatus of claim 7 , wherein at least one emission type is comprised of a plurality of emitted substances.
9. The computer apparatus of claim 7 , wherein said processing function is invoked to perform an extrapolation function, wherein said extrapolation function populates said at least one species impact model with at least one statistically extrapolated value pair.
10. The computer apparatus of claim 7 , wherein said interface is coupled with an update processor to update multiple emission properties based on said new emission properties.
11. The computer apparatus of claim 7 , wherein each of said plurality of emission objects further includes at least one substance parameter value used as a data key; and wherein at least one quantified species impact value of one of said plurality of emission objects is used as a data key to retrieve an equivalent concentration value from at least another of said plurality of emission objects.
12. A computer apparatus for creating an environmental impact model comprised of:
a plurality of emission objects representing emission types, each of said plurality of emission objects comprised of:
emission properties,
a processing function which is invoked to update said emission properties,
at least one species impact model comprised of value pairs wherein each of said value pairs links a quantified species impact value to an emission concentration value to represent the impact of an emission type on at least one species;
a composite index processor configured to perform a composite index function; and
an interface to receive new emission properties;
wherein said composite index function is expressed as:
(i) receiving a toxic mode number N
(ii) receiving an emission number M;
(iii) receiving a rate variable data set I j , wherein I j is a rate at which a j th emisstion type enters an environment over time;
(iv) receiving a plurality of emissions concentration values X j , wherein each one of the plurality of emissions concentration values X j is associated with a corresponding quantified species impact value that is 50%;
(v) receiving a plurality of emissions concentration values Y j , wherein each one of the plurality of emissions concentration values Y j is associated with a corresponding quantified species impact value that is 10%;
(vi) receiving a reference emissions concentration value X, wherein the reference emissions concentration value X is associated with a corresponding quantified species impact value that is 50%;
(vii) receiving a reference emissions concentration value Y, wherein the reference emissions concentration value Y is associated with a corresponding quantified species impact value that is 10%;
(viii) calculating an environmental concentration variable data set C j ;
(ix) calculating a concentration weighing variable data set ω j using the equation:
ω
j
=
(
C
j
X
j
)
l
n
(
X
/
Y
)
l
n
(
X
j
/
Y
j
)
-
1
(x) calculating en effective concentration variable C eff using the equation:
C
eff
=
∑
j
=
1
M
ω
j
(
X
X
j
)
C
j
(xi) calculating an effect variable data set XF i based on the reference emissions concentration value X, the reference emissions concentration value Y, the emission number M, and the effective concentration variable C eff ;
(xii) calculating a composite index value V t based on the effect variable data set XF t ; and
(xiii) outputting said composite index value V t .
13. The computer apparatus of claim 12 , wherein at least one emission type is comprised of a plurality of emitted substances.
14. The computer apparatus of claim 12 , wherein said processing function is invoked to perform an extrapolation function, wherein said extrapolation function populates said at least one species impact model with at least one statistically extrapolated value pair.
15. The computer apparatus of claim 12 , wherein said interface is coupled with an update processor to update multiple emission properties based on said new emission properties.
16. The computer apparatus of claim 12 , wherein each of said plurality of emission objects further includes at least one substance parameter value used as a data key; and wherein at least one quantified species impact value of one of said plurality of emission objects is used as, a data key to retrieve an equivalent concentration value from at least another of said plurality of emission objects.