IP Library Granted Patent US 12,679,352
Granted Patent B2
US 12,679,352 · App. 18/428,386 · Granted Jul 14, 2026

Apparatuses, systems, and methods for vehicle trajectory and collision prediction

Inventors: Matthew J. Brown (Palo Alto, CA); Zhaoyuan Huo (Cupertino, CA); Julia Pralle (Palo Alto, CA)
Assignee: Toyota Jidosha Kabushiki Kaisha
B60W30/095B60W50/0097G06N5/01B60W2520/06
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Quick Facts
Patent No.
US 12,679,352
App. No.
18/428,386
Filed
Jan 31, 2024
Granted
Jul 14, 2026
Kind
B2
Art Unit
3662
USPC
701/27
Abstract

Disclosed apparatuses and methods for trajectory and collision prediction comprising a processor operable to generate, using a machine-learning (ML) model, a ML predicted trajectory of a vehicle and a ML model confidence of the ML predicted trajectory, generate, using a heuristics model, a heuristic predicted trajectory of the vehicle, determine whether the ML model confidence satisfies a metric, in response to determining that the ML model confidence satisfies the metric, apply the ML predicted trajectory as a predicted trajectory, and in response to determining that the ML learning model confidence fails the metric, apply the heuristic predicted trajectory as the predicted trajectory.

Claims (44)

1 . An apparatus for trajectory and collision prediction comprising a processor operable to:

generate, using a machine-learning (ML) model, a ML predicted trajectory of a vehicle and a ML model confidence of the ML predicted trajectory;

generate, using a heuristics model, a heuristic predicted trajectory of the vehicle;

determine whether the ML model confidence satisfies a metric;

in response to determining that the ML model confidence satisfies the metric, apply the ML predicted trajectory as a predicted trajectory;

in response to determining that the ML learning model confidence fails the metric, apply the heuristic predicted trajectory as the predicted trajectory;

generate collision confidence associated with the predicted trajectory, wherein the collision confidence comprises a blending collision confidence generated by blending a ML collision confidence and a heuristic collision confidence using weights based on the ML model confidence;

determine whether the collision confidence is beyond a collision threshold, and

in response to determining that the collision confidence is beyond the collision threshold, generate a trajectory planning and operate the vehicle based on the trajectory planning.

2 . The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the processor is operable to further:

in response to determining that the collision confidence is beyond the collision threshold, inform the vehicle of a predicted collision.

3 . The apparatus of claim 2 , wherein the processor is operable to further instruct the vehicle to follow the trajectory planning.

4 . The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the ML collision confidence is generated based on the ML model in response to determining that the ML model confidence satisfies the metric.

5 . The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the heuristic collision confidence is generated based on the heuristic model in response to determining that the ML model confidence fails the metric.

6 . The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the blending collision confidence is determined based on following equation:

blending collision confidence=ML model confidence×ML collision confidence+(1−ML model confidence)×heuristic collision confidence.

7 . The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the ML model confidence is determined based on a probabilistic model or a distance-based model.

8 . The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the ML predicted trajectory and the heuristic predicted trajectory are generated based on vehicle kinematics, vehicle controls, and road conditions.

9 . The apparatus of claim 8 , wherein the vehicle kinematics comprise a vehicle position, a vehicle velocity, and a vehicle acceleration.

10 . The apparatus of claim 8 , wherein the vehicle controls comprise vehicle steering, vehicle throttle, and brake inputs.

11 . The apparatus of claim 8 , wherein the road conditions comprise road surface conditions, road geometry, and traffic conditions.

12 . The apparatus of claim 8 , wherein the apparatus further comprises one or more vision sensors and speed sensors configured to collect information of the vehicle kinematics, the vehicle controls, and the road conditions.

13 . A method for trajectory and collision prediction comprising:

generating, using a machine-learning (ML) model, a ML predicted trajectory of a vehicle and a ML model confidence of the ML predicted trajectory;

generating, using a heuristics model, a heuristic predicted trajectory of the vehicle;

determining whether the ML model confidence satisfies a metric;

in response to determining that the ML model confidence satisfies the metric, applying the ML predicted trajectory as a predicted trajectory;

in response to determining that the ML learning model confidence fails the metric, applying the heuristic predicted trajectory as the predicted trajectory;

generating collision confidence associated with the predicted trajectory, wherein the collision confidence comprises a blending collision confidence generated by blending a ML collision confidence and a heuristic collision confidence using weights based on the ML model confidence;

determining whether the collision confidence is beyond a collision threshold, and

in response to determining that the collision confidence is beyond the collision threshold, generating a trajectory planning and operating the vehicle based on the trajectory planning.

14 . The method of claim 13 , wherein the method further comprises:

in response to determining that the collision confidence is beyond the collision threshold, informing the vehicle of a predicted collision, and instruct the vehicle to follow the trajectory planning.

15 . The method of claim 13 , wherein:

the ML collision confidence is generated based on the ML model in response to determining that the ML model confidence satisfies the metric; and

the heuristic collision confidence is generated based on the heuristic model in response to determining that the ML model confidence fails the metric.

16 . The method of claim 13 , wherein the blending collision confidence is determined based on following equation:

blending collision confidence=ML model confidence×ML collision confidence+(1−ML model confidence)×heuristic collision confidence.

17 . The method of claim 13 , wherein the ML model confidence is determined based on a probabilistic model or a distance-based model.

18 . The method of claim 13 , wherein the ML predicted trajectory and the heuristic predicted trajectory are generated based on vehicle kinematics, vehicle controls, and road conditions, wherein:

the vehicle kinematics comprise a vehicle position, a vehicle velocity, and a vehicle acceleration;

the vehicle controls comprise vehicle steering, vehicle throttle, and brake inputs;

the road conditions comprise road surface conditions, road geometry, and traffic conditions; and

information of the vehicle kinematics, the vehicle controls, and the road conditions are collected by one or more vision sensors and speed sensors.

Assignments (1)
ASSIGNMENT OF ASSIGNOR'S INTEREST Recorded Feb 5, 2024
From: BROWN, MATTHEW J.; HUO, ZHAOYUAN; PRALLE, JULIA
To: TOYOTA JIDOSHA KABUSHIKI KAISHA
Reel/Frame 066348/0177 →
Continuity (1)
Related Publication 20250242803A1 · Jul 31, 2025
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