Estimating wear of non-volatile, solid state memory

1. An apparatus comprising:

a controller capable of being coupled to a non-volatile, solid-state memory device, the controller configured to cause the apparatus to:

measure completion times of data storage operations targeted to the memory device;

compare an average and a confidence interval of the measured completion times with a baseline average and a baseline confidence interval of baseline completion times for other equivalent memory devices to estimate wear of the memory device; and

perform life cycle management operations to affect subsequent wear of the memory device in accordance with the estimated wear.

2. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the baseline completion times result from applying a predetermined number equivalent data storage operations to the other equivalent memory devices.

3. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the data storage operations comprise data programming operations targeted to the memory device.

4. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein estimating wear of the memory device using the measured completion times comprises adjusting a wear metric using the measured completion times, wherein the wear metric includes at least a count of program-erase cycles.

5. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein measuring completion times comprises measuring the completion times of the data storage operations targeted to a representative subset of memory units of the memory device, and wherein the estimated wear is used to manage the life cycle of memory units of the memory device that are not in the subset.

6. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the life cycle management operations comprise wear leveling operations performed in accordance with the estimated wear.

7. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the life cycle management operations comprise predicting an end of service life of the memory device in accordance with the estimated wear.

8. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein the life cycle management operations comprise selecting new data for writing to the cells in accordance with the estimated wear and in accordance with characteristics of the new data that influence the wear of the memory device.

9. The apparatus of claim 1 , wherein comparing the completion times with the baseline completion times to estimate the wear of the memory device comprises estimating wear based further on a context of the data storage operation, wherein the context includes one or more of a programming voltage, a temperature of the memory device, and content of the data storage operations.

10. A method comprising:

measuring completion times of data storage operations targeted to a non-volatile, solid-state memory device;

comparing an average and a confidence interval of the measured completion times with a baseline average and a baseline confidence interval of baseline completion times for other equivalent memory devices to estimate wear of the memory device; and

performing life cycle management operations to affect subsequent wear of the memory device in accordance with the estimated wear.

11. The method of claim 10 , wherein the baseline completion times result from applying a predetermined number equivalent data storage operations to the other equivalent memory devices.

12. The method of claim 10 , wherein the data storage operations comprise data programming operations targeted to the memory device.

13. The method of claim 10 , wherein estimating wear of the memory device using the measured completion times comprises adjusting a wear metric using the measured completion times, wherein the wear metric includes at least a count of program-erase cycles.

14. The method of claim 10 , wherein the life cycle management operations comprise wear leveling operations performed in accordance with the estimated wear.

15. The method of claim 10 , wherein the life cycle management operations comprise predicting an end of service life of the memory device in accordance with the estimated wear.

16. The method of claim 10 , wherein the life cycle management operations comprise selecting new data for writing to the cells in accordance with the estimated wear and in accordance with characteristics of the new data that influence the wear of the memory device.

17. A system comprising:

a non-volatile, solid-state memory device; and a controller coupled to the memory device and configured to cause an apparatus to:

measure completion times of programming operations targeted to units of the memory device;

compare an average and a confidence interval of the measured completion times with a baseline average and a baseline confidence interval of baseline completion times for other equivalent memory devices to determine wear metrics of the targeted units, wherein the wear metrics includes at least program-erase cycles applied to the targeted units

adjust the wear metrics of the targeted memory units using the measured completion times; and

manage a life cycle of the memory device using the adjusted wear metrics.

18. The system of claim 17 , further comprising a centralized database configured to:

gather, from the apparatus and other apparatuses having equivalent non-volatile, solid-state memory devices, the measured completion times correlated with the wear metrics;

form an improved data model for estimating of wear using the measured completion times in response to gathering the measured completion times correlated to the wear metrics;

send data describing the improved data model to the apparatus and the other apparatuses, wherein the apparatus and the other apparatuses adjust the wear metrics of the targeted memory units using the measured completion times in accordance with the improved data model.