Demand response system having a participation predictor
A demand response management system having a participation predictor. There may be a storage device having information collected about past behavior, related to participation in a demand response program, about a customer. The information may incorporate determining a period of time since the customer last participated in a demand response program, a frequency of participation in demand response events by the customer, and a size of energy loads of the customer. A model of the customer may be developed from this and other information. A processor may be used to collect and process the information, develop a model, and to make a prediction of a customer's being selected to participate in an event based on the various operator selectable criteria.
1. An automated demand response participation selection mechanism comprising:
a processor; and
a storage device connected to the processor; and
wherein:
the storage device comprises a demand response (DR) program having opt-in or opt-out DR event participation for a plurality of customers;
the storage device further comprises inputted information about past behavior of the plurality of customers relative to recency of, frequency of, and load participation in DR events of the DR program;
a model is constructed for each of the plurality of customers based on the inputted information about the past behavior of the plurality of customers relative to recency of, frequency of, and load participation in DR events of the DR program;
a ranking of each customer of the plurality of customers is developed relative to other customers of the plurality of customers for each of recency of, frequency of, and load participation in DR events of the DR program;
the plurality of customers receives rewards for participation in the DR event and an amount of rewards received is based on bids from the plurality of customers that are received at the processor;
the processor is configured to receive a location of a smart phone for each of the customers;
the processor is configured to select one or more customers of the plurality of customers for participation in the DR event to achieve a load response, the one or more customers are selected based on the bids received from the plurality of customers and the ranking of each customer relative to other customers of the plurality of customers for each of the recency of, frequency of, and load participation in DR events of the DR program; and
the processor is configured to send control signals to the one or more customers selected for participation in the DR event to achieve the load response by causing a change, in an automated manner, of a load of energy usage by the one or more customers selected in response to the control signals sent; and
the sent control signals are configured to change the load of energy usage by each of the one or more customers selected to a determined level, the determined level is determined based on a received location of the smart phone of each of the selected one or more customers.
2. The mechanism of claim 1 , wherein a utility of the DR program has an ability to predict participation of the plurality of customers in the opt-in or opt-out DR program for a load shed.
3. The mechanism of claim 1 , wherein one or more customers can opt-in automatically or respond to an invitation to opt-in.
4. The mechanism of claim 1 , wherein:
each DR event of the DR program is managed by a utility; and
a number of rewards is determined by the utility to create an incentive for one or more customers.
5. The mechanism of claim 4 , wherein the rewards provided to the one or more customers selected for participation in the DR event are tracked by a smart phone or web app.
6. The mechanism of claim 5 , wherein an opt-in or opt-out of the DR event of the DR program can be based on a location of the smart phone or web app.
7. The mechanism of claim 5 , wherein:
the smart phone or web app can detect a GPS position and notify a DR system that a person of the smart phone is home or away from home;
the person can be asked to opt-in or opt-out to participate in the DR event; and
a decision to opt-in or opt-out can be manual or automatic.
8. The mechanism of claim 1 , wherein:
intersection groups are developed by grouping customers with the same rankings in each of recency, frequency, and load participation in DR events of the DR program;
one or more intersection groups are selected from the intersections groups developed; and
the processor is configured to select the one or more customers of the plurality of customers for participation in the DR event to achieve a load response from the one or more intersection groups that are selected.
9. The mechanism of claim 1 , wherein the sent control signals are configured to change the load of energy usage by a customer selected to a first level when the received location of the smart phone of the selected customer is at a first location and to a second level when the received location of the smart phone of the selected customer is at a second location.
10. The mechanism of claim 1 , where each bid of the bids includes a desired amount of rewards to be received for participation in the DR event.