Communication prediction apparatus and communication prediction method, and recording medium storing computer program
Provided is, for example, a communication prediction apparatus that can predict, with a higher degree of precision, communication to be performed by an object terminal even when a communication trend changes with changes in the state of the object terminal. A communication prediction apparatus 23 is provided with: a communication monitoring unit 101 that monitors communication performed between an information processing terminal 10 and an application server 30 ; a terminal-state determination unit 102 that determines a terminal state of the information processing terminal 10 ; and a communication prediction unit 104 that predicts communication to be performed by the information processing terminal 10 in a period from a point in time of interest to a point in time at which a predetermined time has elapsed.
1. A communication prediction apparatus comprising:
a memory storing one or more instructions; and
a processor configured to execute the one or more instructions to implement:
a communication monitor for monitoring communication to be performed between a target terminal being a monitoring target and an external device, and generating monitoring communication information including information relating to the communication;
a terminal state determiner for determining a terminal state of the target terminal, based on at least the monitoring communication information; and
a communication predictor for predicting communication to be performed by the target terminal, based on a determination result in past among determination results determined by the terminal state determiner, communication history information associated with the monitoring communication information used in the determination, and a terminal state of the target terminal at a target time, which is newly determined by the terminal state determiner, during a predetermined period from the target time.
2. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein
the communication predictor predicts, as prediction on communication to be performed by the target terminal, whether or not communication is performed by the target terminal during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time.
3. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 2 , wherein
the communication predictor acquires, based on a terminal state of the target terminal at the target time, information associated with a determination result in the past corresponding to the terminal state from among the communication history information by referring to the communication history information, acquires a probability with which the target terminal performs communication during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time, based on the acquired information, and predicts that communication is performed by the target terminal, when the acquired probability is equal to or larger than a predetermined value.
4. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein the processor is further configured to execute the one or more instructions to implement:
a terminal state predictor for predicting a terminal state of the target terminal at a time after lapse of a predetermined time from the target time, based on the communication history information, wherein
the communication predictor predicts communication to be performed by the target terminal, based on a terminal state of the target terminal at a time after lapse of a predetermined time from the target time being predicted by the terminal state predictor, the communication history information, and a terminal state of the target terminal at a target time, which is newly determined by the terminal state determiner, during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time.
5. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein
the terminal state determiner determines, as determination on the terminal state, a state of a screen provided on the target terminal.
6. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein
the terminal state determiner determines, as determination on the terminal state, a communication state accompanied by an on-going application displayed on a screen provided on the target terminal.
7. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein
the terminal state determiner determines, as determination on the terminal state, a moving state indicating whether or not the target terminal is being carried.
8. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , configured to execute the one or more instructions to implement:
a prediction notifier for notifying another device different from an own device of prediction result information including a result predicted by the communication predictor.
9. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein
the communication predictor predicts, as prediction on communication to be performed by the target terminal, a data amount of communication to be performed by the target terminal during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time.
10. The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein
the communication predictor predicts, as prediction on communication to be performed by the target terminal, a frequency of communication to be performed by the target terminal during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time.
11. A communication prediction method comprising:
monitoring communication to be performed between a target terminal being a monitoring target and an external device, and generating monitoring communication information including information relating to the communication;
determining a terminal state of the target terminal by a determiner, based on at least the monitoring communication information; and
predicting communication to be performed by the target terminal, based on a determination result in past among determination results determined by the determiner, communication history information associated with the monitoring communication information used in the determination, and a terminal state of the target terminal at a target time, which is newly determined by the determiner, during a predetermined period from the target time.
12. A non-transitory recording medium storing a computer program, when executed by a computer, causes the computer to implement:
a function of monitoring communication to be performed between a target terminal being a monitoring target and an external device, and generating monitoring communication information including information relating to the communication;
a determination function of determining a terminal state of the target terminal, based on at least the monitoring communication information; and
a function of predicting communication to be performed by the target terminal, based on a determination result in past among determination results determined by the determination function, communication history information associated with the monitoring communication information used in the determination, and a terminal state of the target terminal at a target time, which is newly determined by the determination function, during a predetermined period from the target time.