Air data probe replacement determination system

1. A method of determining when to replace an air data probe, the method comprising:

setting at least one temperature range;

measuring a temperature of a heating element of the air data probe;

tracking an amount of time the heating element is within at least one temperature range; and

providing an air data probe replacement indication when a replacement threshold is met that is at least in part based on reaching a cumulative amount of time the heating element has a measured temperature within the at least one temperature range; and

associating a period of time of life expectancy for each temperature range of the at least one temperature range based on a power law relationship.

2. The method of claim 1 , wherein measuring the temperature of the heating element further comprises:

determining an operational resistance of the heating element by measuring the current drawn by the heating element for a given drive voltage; and

deriving the temperature based on the determined resistance.

3. The method of claim 1 , wherein when more than one temperature range is used, the method further comprises:

applying a cumulated weighted system that tracks the usage and predicts the life expectancy of the air data probe based on temperatures of the heating element over time within each temperature range.

4. The method of claim 1 , further comprising:

adjusting the replacement threshold based at least in part on gathered data relating to a remaining life of the air data probe.

5. The method of claim 1 , further comprising;

generating a remaining life estimate based at least in part on the measured temperature of the heating element and the tracked amount of time the heating element is within at least one temperature range.

6. A method of determining when to replace an air data probe, the method comprising:

measuring a temperature of at least one heating element of the air data probe;

tracking time when the at least one heating element has a measured temperature within defined temperature ranges;

applying a cumulated weighted system that predicts the life expectancy of the air data probe based on a power law relationship using the tracked time of the at least one heating element within each temperature range; and

generating a remaining life expectancy signal of the air data probe based on the prediction of the cumulated weighted system.

7. The method of claim 6 , further comprising:

setting the temperature ranges; and

associating a period of time of life expectancy with each temperature range.

8. The method of claim 6 , wherein applying the cumulated weighted system further comprises:

summing period of time of life expectancies over a length of time the at least one heating element can survive under a given temperature range across all temperature ranges.

9. The method of claim 6 , further comprising:

determining the temperature of the at least one heating element by measuring a current drawn by the heating element for a given drive voltage, wherein the given drive voltage is one of an on ground voltage when it is determined an aircraft having the air data probe is on the ground and an in-flight voltage when it is determined the aircraft is not on the ground.

10. The method of claim 6 , further comprising:

providing an air data probe replacement indication when a replacement threshold is met that is at least in part based on reaching a cumulative amount of time the heating element has a measured temperature within the at least one temperature range.

11. The method of claim 10 , further comprising:

adjusting the replacement threshold based at least in part on gathered data relating to a remaining life of the air data probe.

12. The method of claim 6 , further comprising:

communicating the remaining life expectancy signal to at least one of an onboard maintenance computer and a remote central fleet maintenance tracking system.

13. The method of claim 6 , further comprising:

adjusting a drive voltage of a power source coupled to the at least one heating element based on a then current operating condition of the air data probe.

14. An air data probe operating and monitoring system, the system comprising:

at least one heating element housed within the air data probe;

a power source coupled to the at least one heating element;

at least one current sensor coupled to sense a current draw through the at least one heating element;

at least one clock;

at least one memory to store at least operating instructions and sensor data from the at least one current sensor;

at least one controller coupled to control the power source to provide select drive voltages for the at least one heating element based on a current operating condition of the air data probe, the at least one controller in communication with the at least one current sensor, the at least one controller further configured to implement the operating instructions in the at least one memory to track time that the at least one heating element of the air data probe has a temperature within defined temperature ranges using the at least one clock, the at least one controller further configured to apply a cumulated weighted function that predicts the life expectancy of the air data probe based on a power law relationship using an accumulated time the heating element is tracked within each temperature range; and

an output in communication with the at least one controller, the at least one controller configured to communicate a replace air data probe message to the output when a result of the cumulated weighted system reaches a select threshold.

15. The system of claim 14 , wherein the at least one controller is further configured to determine the temperature of the at least one heating element by measuring a current drawn by the at least one heating element for a given drive voltage with the current sensor.

16. The system of claim 14 , wherein the at least one controller is further configured to sum a period of time of life expectancies over a length of time the at least one heating element can survive under a given temperature range across all temperature ranges in applying the cumulated weighted function.

17. The system of claim 14 , wherein the at least one controller is further configured to generate a remaining life expectancy signal that is communicated to the output.

18. The system of claim 14 , further comprising:

an input in communication with the at least one controller, the input configured to communicate the temperature ranges and an association of period of time of life expectancies with each temperature range to the at least one controller for storage in the at least one memory.

19. The system of claim 14 , wherein the at least one controller is further configured to update the temperature ranges and associated period of time of life expectancies with each temperature range.