Method for controlling the filling levels of tanks

1. A management method for managing the filling levels of a plurality of tanks arranged in a ship, said tanks being connected in such a way as to allow liquid to be transferred between said tanks, the method comprising

providing an initial state defining initial filling levels of the tanks

providing at least one environmental parameter defining environmental data of the ship, said at least one environmental parameter comprising a wind sea height and/or a swell height,

determining a target state defining final filling levels of said tanks,

determining a liquid transfer scenario, the transfer scenario defining one or more flows of liquid to be transferred between the tanks during a transfer period in order to shift from the initial state to the target state of the tanks,

calculating a probability of damage to the tanks as a function of successive filling levels of the tanks during the transfer period and of said at least one environmental parameter, the probability of damage to the tanks defining a probability that at least one tank will be damaged during the course of the transfer scenario, and

generating a series of instructions intended to transfer the liquid between the tanks in accordance with said transfer scenario in response to the probability of damage to the tanks satisfying an acceptance criterion.

2. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , further comprising, in response to the probability of damage to the tanks satisfying the acceptance criterion, transferring the liquid between the tanks in accordance with said transfer scenario.

3. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , further comprising providing a transfer capacity parameter defining a transfer capacity between the tanks, the transfer scenario being determined according to said parameter defining the transfer capacity between the tanks.

4. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , in which the probability of damage to the tanks is calculated as a function of at least one parameter chosen from the group of parameters comprising the movements of the ship, the levels of liquid impacts on the tank walls, the statistical behavior of the impacts of the movements of liquid, the strength of the tanks depending on the position in said tanks, the time spent at different filling levels, the gas evaporation rate induced by the transfer of liquid, and the loading state of the ship's structure.

5. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , further comprising the step of determining a parameter in real time and taking said parameter into account in order to determine the transfer scenario.

6. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , further comprising the step of determining a parameter in real time and taking said parameter into account in order to determine the calculation of probability of damage to the tanks.

7. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , in which the acceptance criterion is a criterion concerning the risk of damage to the tanks during the course of the transfer scenario.

8. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , in which the probability of damage to the tanks is calculated according to the following formula:

Risk

ope

=

∏

tk_n

∫

0

surf

∫

0

t

ope

prob

tk_n

(

P

⁢

r

⁢

e

⁢

s

surf

>

Res

surf

,

tk_n

,

SC

⁡

(

fl_n

)

)

·

dsurf

·

dt

in which tk_n represents the number of the tank n,

SC represents the sailing conditions as a function of the filling level fl_n of the tank tk_n,

Prob tk_n represents the probability density of encountering a pressure Pres surf on an internal surface of the tank tk_n greater than the strength Res surf of said internal surface of the tank tk_n as a function of the sailing conditions SC(fl_n),

surf is the internal surface impacted by the liquid, and

t ope is the duration of the operation to shift from the initial state to the target state.

9. The management method as claimed in claim 8 , in which the probability density Prob tk_n (Pres surf >Res surf ,tk_n,SC(fl_n)) is predefined.

10. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , in which the method further comprises the step of continuously monitoring the actual successive states of the tanks during the transfer period and, in response to the detection of a discrepancy between the actual successive states of the tanks and the predicted successive states of tanks determined by the transfer scenario, repeating the method of claim 1 .

11. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , further comprising:

determining a plurality of different transfer scenarios, each transfer scenario defining one or more flows of liquid to be transferred between the tanks during a respective transfer period in order to shift from the initial state to the target state,

calculating, for each transfer scenario, a respective probability of damage to the tanks as a function of successive filling levels of the tanks during

the corresponding transfer period, the probability of damage to the tanks defining a probability that at least one tank will be damaged during the course of said transfer scenario,

selecting one scenario from the plurality of transfer scenarios, and

generating the series of instructions intended to transfer the liquid between the tanks in accordance with the selected transfer scenario in response to the corresponding probability of damage to the tanks satisfying an acceptance criterion.

12. The management method as claimed in claim 1 , further comprising:

determining a plurality of target states, each target state defining final filling levels of the tanks,

determining a plurality of different transfer scenarios, each transfer scenario defining one or more flows of liquid to be transferred between the tanks during a respective transfer period in order to shift from the initial state to one target state from the plurality of target states,

calculating, for each transfer scenario, a respective probability of damage to the tanks as a function of successive filling levels of the tanks during the corresponding transfer period, the probability of damage to the tanks defining a probability that at least one tank will be damaged during the course of said transfer scenario,

selecting one scenario from the plurality of transfer scenarios, and

generating the series of instructions intended to transfer the liquid between the tanks in accordance with the selected transfer scenario in response to the corresponding probability of damage to the tanks satisfying an acceptance criterion.

13. The management method as claimed in claim 11 , in which the scenario is selected depending on the acceptance criterion.

14. A computer-implemented management system of the filling levels of tanks, said tanks being arranged in a ship and connected in such a way as to allow liquid to be transferred between said tanks, the system comprising means for:

providing an initial state defining initial filling levels of the tanks,

providing at least one environmental parameter defining environmental data of the ship, said at least one environmental parameter comprising a wind sea height and/or a swell height,

determining a target state defining final filling levels of said tanks,

determining a liquid transfer scenario, the transfer scenario defining one or more flows of liquid to be transferred between the tanks during a transfer period in order to shift from the initial state to the target state of the tanks,

calculating a probability of damage to the tanks as a function of successive filling levels of the tanks during the transfer period and of said at least one environmental parameter, the probability of damage to the tanks defining a probability that at least one tank will be damaged during the course of the transfer scenario, and

generating a series of instructions intended to transfer the liquid between the tanks in accordance with said transfer scenario in response to the probability of damage to the tanks satisfying an acceptance criterion.