Calculation apparatus and calculation method for determining energy storage limits based on net power predictions
A calculation device 20 is linked with an electric power system 1 and optimizes energy utilization efficiency of a grid S 1 including a power storage device 15 . The calculation device 20 determines the range of a final charge state of a prediction target section of the power storage device 15 on the basis of power demand prediction for the next and following sections, and assesses, through the optimization calculation for the prediction target section, whether or not the final charge state of the section falls within the range.
1. A calculation apparatus for optimizing energy use efficiency of a grid that is interconnected to a power system and includes an energy storage apparatus, wherein a range of a final charge state in a prediction target section of the energy storage apparatus is determined based on a supply and demand prediction of power in a next section or later, and whether the final charge state of the section is matched with the range is evaluated by the optimization calculation of the prediction target section, wherein a surplus power amount in a first period, in which supply of the power exceeds demand in the next section or later, is calculated based on the supply and demand prediction of the power in the next section or later, and wherein the calculation apparatus generates and initiates a command that automatically causes a bidirectional inverter circuit to perform switching between a forward conversion operation and a reverse conversion operation within the first period and based upon the surplus power amount exceeding the demand in the next section or later.
2. The calculation apparatus according to claim 1 , wherein:
an upper limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by subtracting a numerical value corresponding to the surplus power amount from a use range upper limit of the energy storage apparatus.
3. The calculation apparatus according to claim 2 , wherein:
a minimum surplus power amount in the first period is calculated based on the supply and demand prediction of the power in the next section or later, and
the upper limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by subtracting a numerical value corresponding to the minimum surplus power amount from the use range upper limit of the energy storage apparatus.
4. The calculation apparatus according to claim 2 , wherein:
a deficient power amount, by which power supply falls below the demand to cause power shortage, is calculated for a second period from a start of the next section to the first period, and
a lower limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by adding a numerical value corresponding to the deficient power amount to a use range lower limit of the energy storage apparatus.
5. The calculation apparatus according to claim 4 , wherein:
a maximum deficient power amount in the second period is calculated based on the supply and demand prediction of the power in the next section or later, and
the lower limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by adding a numerical value corresponding to the maximum deficient power amount to the use range lower limit of the energy storage apparatus.
6. A calculation method for optimizing energy use efficiency of a grid that is interconnected to a power system and includes an energy storage apparatus, the calculation method comprising:
determining a range of a final charge state in a prediction target section of the energy storage apparatus based on a supply and demand prediction of power in a next section or later;
evaluating whether the final charge state of the section is matched with the range by optimization calculation of the prediction target section,
calculating a surplus power amount, in a first period, in which supply of the power exceeds demand in the next section or later, based on the supply and demand prediction of the power in the next section or later, and
generating and initiating a command that automatically causes a bidirectional inverter circuit to perform switching between a forward conversion operation and a reverse conversion operation within the first period and based upon the surplus power amount exceeding the demand in the next section or later.
7. The calculation apparatus according to claim 3 , wherein:
a deficient power amount, by which power supply falls below the demand to cause power shortage, is calculated for a second period from a start of the next section to the first period, and
a lower limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by adding a numerical value corresponding to the deficient power amount to a use range lower limit of the energy storage apparatus.
8. The calculation apparatus according to claim 7 , wherein
a maximum deficient power amount in the second period is calculated based on the supply and demand prediction of the power in the next section or later, and
the lower limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by adding a numerical value corresponding to the maximum deficient power amount to the use range lower limit of the energy storage apparatus.
9. The calculation apparatus according to claim 3 , wherein the minimum surplus power amount is calculated based on a combination of: a predicted generated power value, a predicted power consumption value, and a minimum received power target value.
10. The calculation apparatus according to claim 4 , wherein the deficient power amount is obtained by subtracting a generated power value and a received power value from a power consumption value.
11. The calculation apparatus according to claim 7 , wherein the deficient power amount is obtained by subtracting a generated power value and a received power value from a power consumption value.
12. The calculation method according to claim 6 , wherein an upper limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by subtracting a numerical value corresponding to the surplus power amount from a use range upper limit of the energy storage apparatus.
13. The calculation method according to claim 12 , wherein:
a minimum surplus power amount in the first period is calculated based on the supply and demand prediction of the power in the next section or later, and
the upper limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by subtracting a numerical value corresponding to the minimum surplus power amount from the use range upper limit of the energy storage apparatus.
14. The calculation method according to claim 12 , wherein:
a deficient power amount, by which power supply falls below the demand to cause power shortage, is calculated for a second period from a start of the next section to the first period, and
a lower limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by adding a numerical value corresponding to the deficient power amount to a use range lower limit of the energy storage apparatus.
15. The calculation method according to claim 14 , wherein:
a maximum deficient power amount in the second period is calculated based on the supply and demand prediction of the power in the next section or later, and
the lower limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by adding a numerical value corresponding to the maximum deficient power amount to the use range lower limit of the energy storage apparatus.
16. The calculation method according to claim 13 , wherein:
a deficient power amount, by which power supply falls below the demand to cause power shortage, is calculated for a second period from a start of the next section to the first period, and
a lower limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by adding a numerical value corresponding to the deficient power amount to a use range lower limit of the energy storage apparatus.
17. The calculation method according to claim 16 , wherein
a maximum deficient power amount in the second period is calculated based on the supply and demand prediction of the power in the next section or later, and
the lower limit value of the final charge state in the section is determined to be a value obtained by adding a numerical value corresponding to the maximum deficient power amount to the use range lower limit of the energy storage apparatus.
18. The calculation method according to claim 16 , wherein the deficient power amount is obtained by subtracting a generated power value and a received power value from a power consumption value.
19. The calculation method according to claim 13 , wherein the minimum surplus power amount is calculated based on a combination of: a predicted generated power value, a predicted power consumption value, and a minimum received power target value.
20. The calculation method according to claim 14 , wherein the deficient power amount is obtained by subtracting a generated power value and a received power value from a power consumption value.